Prediction Case File
QQQstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2025-08-04T21:59:20weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
1.87%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
564.09997559
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
574.63
Predicted objective
Invalidation
401.94
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
564.1
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
1.87%
Initial Invalidation Distance
28.75%
Risk / Reward
0.06
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
1.87%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-04T21:59:20
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-08T17:30:00
Resolved At
2025-08-08T17:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-08T17:30:00
Max High
574.77001953
Max High At
-
Min Low
559.72998047
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
91.5h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.35
Success Rate
39.62%
Consistency
88.45
Risk Adjusted
-8.5
Avg Return
-0.87%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
BPlQSthQf5o
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on SMCI, QQQ, and NVDA using technical chart patterns. For SMCI, a price target of $66 is predicted, referencing a previous high. The analysis identifies a crucial point for SMCI at a closing price of $58.23, noting a struggle around the $62 level. It also mentions a stair-step-like ascent after breaking a long-term resistance. For QQQ and NVDA, the presenter suggests overall bullishness with attempts to pull back being bought up, showing buyer control. The video suggests that SMCI is exhibiting a trend similar to the analyzed QQQ and NVDA charts. The key support level for SMCI is identified at $50.70. The analysis refers to prior explosive moves with volatility and periods of sellers pushing the price down before buyers regained control.

Original Caption

Using Technical Analysis, we analyzed Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) stock and predicted where price would go within the next few days to weeks. If you found value from this video, consider subscribing for more! Comment your $SMCI price predictions below and any other stocks that you would like me to cover! Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor #smci #smcistock #technicalanalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
QQQ Bullish Signal by IC Trades | Tahlil Plus AI