Prediction Case File
ADAUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

More Crypto Online2025-08-28T14:34:00weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-41.13%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.8663
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
1.79
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.51
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.864402
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
106.63%
Initial Invalidation Distance
41.13%
Risk / Reward
2.59
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-41.13%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-28T14:34:00
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,038.43h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

More Crypto Online
YouTube · @morecryptoonline
Reliability
46.92
Success Rate
33.4%
Consistency
84.65
Risk Adjusted
-14.95
Avg Return
-4.52%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
vfVTTRDqknQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis of ADAUSD indicates a larger timeframe view, with a focus on weekly charts to understand the bigger picture. Two scenarios are tracked, with targets like $1.79, $2.47. A critical pivot at $0.51 is key, to maintain the local uptrend that started August of last year. The presenter believes that ADA is within a channel that is going to drive prices higher. A weekly close above $0.88 would be the earliest indication that a low is in place. The presenter believes that a drop below $0.51 would mean ADA is headed to the 30 cents range.

Original Caption

Join us for the Bybit WSOT event: https://partner.bybit.com/b/mcowsot25 Cardano (ADA) is approaching a critical support level around $0.51, which could decide the next major direction. After months of sideways movement, we’re now at a point where the structure could either break down into a more bearish scenario — or finally set the stage for a reversal toward $2 and beyond. In this video, we’ll take a close look at ADA’s current wave structure, the key levels that matter right now, and what would need to happen to keep the bullish scenario alive. Is $2 still on the table? Let’s break it down. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MCO Global: https://www.mcoglobal.com/ ️ Join the FREE Newsletter: https://mcoglobal.com/newsletter/ Join the Morecryptoonline Crypto Service https://www.mcoglobal.com/subscriptions OR https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCngIhBkikUe6e7tZTjpKK7Q/join OR https://www.patreon.com/morecryptoonline Join the S&P500 & Stocks Service https://www.patreon.com/moretradingonline Subscribe for Free to More Trading Online: https://www.youtube.com/@moretradingonline Subscribe for Free to More Forex Online: https://www.youtube.com/@MoreForexOnline ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Social Media: WhatsApp News & Updates: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaZ0h5B3mFYBkWRWCY0K X / Twitter: https://twitter.com/Morecryptoonl Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/morecryptoonline_official/ Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/MCOGlobal/ Facebook: https://facebook.com/morecryptoonline Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/more-crypto-online/ Tiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@more_crypto_online All MCO Global Links: https://linktr.ee/morecryptoonline ️ In case of questions just reach out to us: info@morecryptoonline.com ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Exchanges / Products (Affiliate Links): Trade on Bybit: https://partner.bybit.com/b/MCO Bitget: Trade with Bitget: https://partner.bitget.com/bg/MoreCryptoOnline TradingView: https://bit.ly/Crypto_Tradingview Trade on Coinbase: https://bit.ly/MCOinbase Trade on Kucoin: Receive a 20% fee discount: https://www.kucoin.com/r/af/QBSSSL4T Trade with eToro: https://etoro.tw/3oFUKCk Trade with Trading212: Receive shares worth up to $100: https://bit.ly/Trading212MCO Protect your cryptocurrencies with Trezor: https://bit.ly/morecryptoonline Protect your cryptocurrencies with Ledger: https://shop.ledger.com/?r=0fb3c8be2e46 Stay safe with NordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/SH4s0

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal