Prediction Case File
NVDAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2025-08-31T17:57:29monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-4.83%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
174.27999878
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
149.18
Predicted objective
Invalidation
182.7
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
174.18
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
14.4%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.83%
Risk / Reward
2.98
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-4.83%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-31T17:57:29
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-22T16:30:00
Resolved At
2025-09-22T16:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-22T16:30:00
Max High
184.55000305
Max High At
-
Min Low
164.07000732
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
526.53h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.9
Success Rate
32.95%
Consistency
89.79
Risk Adjusted
-4.34
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
aPP3Z-4EWbc
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis for NVDA (NVIDIA) indicates a potential 3-5 week sell-off towards the upper 140s, given its recent closure below the 5-month channel bottom at 176.08 and a secondary sell signal. Key levels to watch include 168.79 as a session containment level and 149.18 as a longer-term objective. Resistance is identified between 180.57 and 182.70. If NVDA closes above 182.70, the analysis will become invalid, with a new target of 219.64 over the next 2-3 months. The QQQ (Invesco QQQ Trust Series), having tested its 2.5-year channel top, is seen as susceptible to a bearish rotation into the fourth quarter. A QQQ settlement above the channel would cause the NVIDIA target to go up to 219.64.

Original Caption

Our daily NVIDIA analysis breaks down critical levels, market trends, and insights for today’s trading session. 🟢Want to trade with clear signals, targets, and risk plans? Go here: https://wickedstocks.com/stocks-picks/ In this video, we bring you technical stock analysis for NVIDIA. We hope to bring you directional clarity for NVIDIA stock based on the important price support and resistance levels for Tuesday, September 2nd, 2025. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🟢Want to see every analysis we post — from indexes to stock picks to crypto? Go here: https://wickedstocks.com/ Key Resources: Downloadable PDF for Support & Resistance Levels: https://wickedstocks.com/2025/08/31/nvidia-nvda-stock-price-overview-and-detailed-analysis-274/ Free Guide: How to Use Our Trading Levels https://wickedstocks.com/resources/ Join 1,000+ traders getting our free weekly newsletter—exclusive stock picks and actionable trade tips inside - https://wickedstocks.com/trading-success/ Disclaimer: Not financial advice, just our professional opinions. Channels: Website: https://wickedstocks.com/ X: https://x.com/wickedstocks Questions? Drop a comment below! #nvda #nvidia #nasdaq #topstocks #stocktrading #daytrading

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal