Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishLive Pending

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Felix & Friends (Goat Academy)2025-09-01T17:00:46monthlyfundamental
Live Outcome
14.27%
Performance since published
Pending
Publish Price
333.97000122
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
381.61999512
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
650
Predicted objective
Invalidation
200
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
323.87
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
94.63%
Initial Invalidation Distance
40.11%
Risk / Reward
2.36
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
14.27%
active
Current Price
381.61999512
Live Score
64.44
Distance to Target Now
70.33%
Distance to Invalidation Now
47.59%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
60%
Actionable
40%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate40.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality52.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-01T17:00:46
First Checked
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Last Checked
2026-06-11T01:31:42
Resolved
-
Resolved At
-
Resolved Candle
-
Max High
498.82000732
Max High At
2025-12-22T14:30:00
Min Low
273.20999146
Min Low At
2025-06-05T18:30:00
Time To Result
-h
Result
Pending
Validation Status
Daily
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Felix & Friends (Goat Academy)
YouTube · @FelixFriends
Reliability
67.23
Success Rate
62.29%
Consistency
85.06
Risk Adjusted
-2.09
Avg Return
3.95%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
Z1FWjfRAejs
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst discusses potential investment opportunities based on expected Federal Reserve rate cuts. He gives an analysis of job payroll census and compares data of Dec 2023 with previous periods. He also mentions 3 stocks that increase at least 100% when rate cuts occur giving specific price targets for TSLA, SOFI and PLTR, which he estimates would rise by 114%, 130% and 166% respectively based on previous rate cuts. The speaker also adds that on September 9th of 2024 there will be a report showing a big downward revision in the jobs report.

Original Caption

Live Training! Learn to Invest at the Top of the Market: https://felixfriends.org/training Meet Felix Prehn: I'm your host, Felix Prehn. My journey took me from being a novice investor to an investment banker, a corporate lawyer, and an entrepreneur. Investing was my key to early retirement at 40. My goal? To empower YOU to navigate the financial market with ease and transparency, free from the conventional financial system's noise. Let's embark on this journey to financial freedom together! ️This is from my lovely lawyers: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute and should not be construed as financial or investment advice or an offer to purchase or sell securities. The content is not personalized or tailored to a specific person or group of persons, nor to their personal investment or financial needs. You should consult a financial adviser or other investment professional authorized to provide investment advice. Investing comes with risks, including the risk of loss. Presentations of trades made by Felix Prehn or Goat Academy Ltd or its personnel are not a guarantee that any investment decision made by a student will be successful. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Some of the accounts we highlight from time to time are our top performing accounts and the results shown are not typical. Trades shown may be from simulated trading or live trading accounts. *CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:24 Tesla, SoFi, Palantir Gains From Last Rate Cuts 00:56 Warning Not All Stocks Move Equally 01:39 Jobs Data Manipulation Explained 02:28 One Million Fake Jobs Revealed 03:59 Biggest Downward Revisions in History Ahead 04:18 Trump Fires Labor Commissioner Over Fake Numbers 05:02 Goldman Sachs Predicts Multiple Rate Cuts 06:12 Real Jobs Data vs Government Fabrication 07:47 September 9th Key Date for Revisions 08:13 Fed Governor Waller Open to Jumbo Cuts 09:39 Rate Cuts and 10%+ Stock Price Impact 10:48 Outro #felixprehn #stockmarket

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
Yes
Verified Outcome
No
Included in Analyst Score
No
Included in Target Consensus
Yes
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
Not Final Result
Target Consensus Exclusion
-