Prediction Case File
DOGEUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

The Moon Show2025-09-01T14:37:29dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.23%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.21479
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.3
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.21
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.2176
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
39.67%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.23%
Risk / Reward
17.79
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-2.23%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-01T14:37:29
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-01T20:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-01T20:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-01T20:00:00
Max High
0.21622
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.20673
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
5.37h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

The Moon Show
YouTube · @TheMoon
Reliability
40.12
Success Rate
23.85%
Consistency
81.83
Risk Adjusted
-16.83
Avg Return
-5.17%
Avg Quality
3.43
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
JrPbMAo41Ns
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and DogeCoin. For Bitcoin, a falling wedge pattern is identified with support, leading to a $10 million long position. A double bottom formation is noted as a positive signal. The analyst states that there is an inverse head and shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe, targeting $144,000. Ethereum shows previous resistance turning into support and the analyst states that a $10 million long position is open, resulting in $2.6 million in unrealized profits and $900,000 in realized profits. For DogeCoin, a falling wedge pattern is observed, with a projection of a skyrocket once the breakout is done. The trader states that when this pattern breaks out, it would skyrocket and the analysis projects a target of $0.30.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
DOGEUSDT Bullish Signal by The Moon Show | Tahlil Plus AI