Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Pip Snipers2025-09-01T22:58:34monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-23.03%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
4,284.93
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
6,778
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,298
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
4,341.29
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
58.18%
Initial Invalidation Distance
23.03%
Risk / Reward
2.53
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-23.03%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-01T22:58:34
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-04T18:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-04T18:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-04T18:00:00
Max High
4,769.36
Max High At
-
Min Low
3,435
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,531.02h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Pip Snipers
YouTube · @pipsnipers
Reliability
39.48
Success Rate
22.64%
Consistency
81.38
Risk Adjusted
-20.13
Avg Return
-7.33%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
oD2_UHY71HY
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis of ETHUSD identifies a five-wave move upwards from April, with wave three extended to the 123.6% level. Bearish divergence is forming since July 2025. A move below the 21-day and 9-day moving averages suggests a downward trend. Expectation for a move towards 3084 and 3627. The analysis presents an alternate scenario, considering a retest of the 200-day moving average at the diagonal support and a higher target of 10429. The target is 6778, a conservative target on the higher side. The analysis uses Elliott Wave, RSI and Moving averages.

Original Caption

https://youtu.be/YVa_lgtlGnQ?si=S6Fb2g7MHwFLg_XZ

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal