Prediction Case File
AAPLstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Moneyvest2025-09-03T23:21:27dailytechnical
Live Outcome
3.15%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
238.49000549
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
246
Predicted objective
Invalidation
224
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
237
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
3.15%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.08%
Risk / Reward
0.52
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
3.15%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-03T23:21:27
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-19T17:30:00
Resolved At
2025-09-19T17:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-19T17:30:00
Max High
246.26989746
Max High At
-
Min Low
225.95219421
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
378.13h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Moneyvest
YouTube · @moneyvestpro
Reliability
56.58
Success Rate
47.08%
Consistency
92.89
Risk Adjusted
-3.12
Avg Return
0.09%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
SgWLtpsrHSA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis covers the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Apple, Amazon, Tesla, Nvidia, Hims, and Bitcoin. SPX is currently at 6420 with a target of 6508 and fail bound at 6350. NASDAQ's current level is 21398 targeting 21700 with fail bound 21000. Apple at 237 targets 246 and fails at 224. AMZN is 224 targeting 232 fails if reaches 218. TSLA has a support at 328, targeting 367. NVDA's bearish trend targets 161 with fail at 174. Hims has a 64 target, failing at 34. BTCUSD is trading back up to 111951, a target is at 126517 and fails at 104000. Google is heading up higher.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal