Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Discover Crypto2025-09-04T03:01:04monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-14.76%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
111,445.96
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
140,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
95,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
110,800
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
25.62%
Initial Invalidation Distance
14.76%
Risk / Reward
1.74
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-14.76%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-04T03:01:04
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-14T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-14T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-14T00:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,700.97h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Discover Crypto
YouTube · @DiscoverCrypto_
Reliability
43
Success Rate
28.24%
Consistency
76.64
Risk Adjusted
-15.03
Avg Return
-4.66%
Avg Quality
3.23
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
ro7dx7Gd1WE
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on the correlation between Gold and Bitcoin using historical charts. It reviews five key events for Gold and examines Bitcoin's reaction. The analysis begins with Gold's 2020 high and extends to September 2025. For Gold, the analyst identifies potential resistance near $4,000. For Bitcoin, an uptrend that started in April shows strong support at 101800. The video posits if Gold breaks through resistance, Bitcoin would follow, aiming for new highs. The analyst is long biased, expecting upside movement.

Original Caption

Deezy goes over the historical price data for gold. After gold pumps, Bitcoin likes to repeat certain patterns... Let's dive in! Join Our Trading Group Discord - https://discord.gg/pJYe4Z9FWa Blofin - https://partner.blofin.com/d/DiscoverCrypto Lbank - https://www.lbank.com/login?icode=4M7MZ CoinW - https://www.coinw.com/register?r=2902582 ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● ️ Protect your BTC From Taxes - https://bitcoinira.com/ ️ Crypto Tax Services - https://www.decrypted.tax/ ️ Use 'DC20' for 20% off Arculus - https://www.getarculus.com/products/arculus-cold-storage-wallet Bitcoin Ticker Box - https://tickerbox.eu?sca_ref=8841235.jarE9W1myNW ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● ️ Follow on X - https://x.com/DiscoverCrypto_ ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● All of our videos are strictly personal opinions. Please make sure to do your own research. Never take one person's opinion for financial guidance. There are multiple strategies and not all strategies fit all people. Our videos ARE NOT financial advice. Our videos are sponsored & include affiliate content. Digital Assets are highly volatile and carry a considerable amount of risk. Only use exchanges for trading digital assets. We never keep our entire portfolio on an exchange. #bitcoin #crypto

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal