Prediction Case File
AAPLstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2025-09-09T16:28:00dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.62%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
236.52999878
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
230.85
Predicted objective
Invalidation
238
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
237.68
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
2.4%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.62%
Risk / Reward
3.86
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-0.62%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-09T16:28:00
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-09T16:30:00
Resolved At
2025-09-09T16:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-09T16:30:00
Max High
238.78050232
Max High At
-
Min Low
235.82499695
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
0.03h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.16
Success Rate
45.15%
Consistency
92.19
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.82%
Avg Quality
3.56
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
CHq7aWVSX88
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis provides a pre-market update, focusing on futures, highlighting potential sell zones based on chart patterns. NASDAQ futures are around a neutral line, trending toward a sell zone. Long-term charts reveal that NASDAQ reached the same level as the previous Friday and got rejected. Ideally, the expectation is a return to the dotted line at 2% down. The analyst suggests the best buy zone is below the green line at 23,000. Monday morning saw a pump to the red line, got rejected, and is now trying to go higher, with a bias toward the short side. The analyst mentions an upcoming Apple event and its potential impact. A 2.79% drop to 230.85 is deemed possible for Apple. MES1! micro e-mini S&P 500. Look to sell above 6530, and to buy below 6486. Regarding Bitcoin, the price should come to the green line at 111523 before the next trade. The analysis includes potential target prices and possible pullbacks for stocks, crypto and commodities.

Original Caption

Click Youtube channel link below to Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCruE6nggpVnCYclIPxATeVA/join If you like video please donate : https://paypal.me/linktoharry?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US Free Chat Discord Server Link: https://discord.gg/8CxCNXWqjn Join Twitter / X ID : harmynder I use Crypto.com app to buy crypto : Use my referral link https://crypto.com/app/yk7nspbdad to sign up for Crypto.com and we both get $25 USD. TradingView Referral Link : https://www.tradingview.com/gopro/?share_your_love=harmynder These video's are for education only, Invest at your own risk, not a financial advise #fomc #stockmarket #daytrading #stockmarketanalysis #optionstrading #tradeideas #technicalanalysis #stockmarketcrash #us500 #mes #mnq #spx #emini #spy #us100 #ndx #qqq #us30 #dji #us2000 #iwm #russell2000 #vix #bitcoin #ethereum #btc #btcusd #eth #ethusd #crypto #cryptocurrency #gold #gc #silver #dollar #dxy #crudeoil #oil #cl #naturalgas #ng #ung #crwd #tesla #tsla #apple #appl #msft #amd #nvda #meta #nflx #amd #now #avgo #xlc #xle #xlu #xlv #xlk #xli #xlf #gdx #gdxu #gdxj #sugar #cane #corn #wheat #weat #soyabean #soyb #commodity #tqqq #sqqq #fngu #fngd #bulz #soxl #soxs #qqu #qqd #viral #viralvideo #viralshorts #nasdaq #sp500

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal