Prediction Case File
ONDOUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Discover Crypto2025-09-10T00:23:11monthlyfundamental
Live Outcome
-6.62%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.9638
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
1.2
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.9
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
1
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
24.51%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.62%
Risk / Reward
3.7
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-6.62%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-10T00:23:11
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-22T06:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-22T06:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-22T06:00:00
Max High
1.1355
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.8896
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
293.6h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Discover Crypto
YouTube · @DiscoverCrypto_
Reliability
43
Success Rate
28.24%
Consistency
76.64
Risk Adjusted
-15.03
Avg Return
-4.66%
Avg Quality
3.23
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
NC2aAlc_CXQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video discusses four cryptocurrencies: Ondo, Plume, Aerodrome, and Sui. The presenter evaluates them based on risk and potential return, eliminating Plume due to its low market cap, despite acknowledging the project's potential in New York City. He then eliminates Sui because it is the biggest market cap out of the four and it has already had major returns in this cycle. Ultimately deciding to diversify between Aerodrome and Ondo, splitting his investment 50/50 between the two, therefore he suggests for Aerodrome a target price of $1.10 and a $0.80 failure bound, while suggesting for Ondo a target price of $1.20 and a failure bound of $0.90.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal