Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

EQ.Trades2025-09-10T00:39:32dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-10.5%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
4,298.78
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
3,500
Predicted objective
Invalidation
4,750
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
4,297.21
Original Analyst Trend
Range
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
18.58%
Initial Invalidation Distance
10.5%
Risk / Reward
1.77
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-10.5%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate40.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-10T00:39:32
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-13T03:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-13T03:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-13T03:00:00
Max High
4,769.36
Max High At
-
Min Low
4,285.24
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
74.33h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

EQ.Trades
YouTube · @EQ.Trades
Reliability
41.4
Success Rate
25.89%
Consistency
84.12
Risk Adjusted
-22.86
Avg Return
-8.22%
Avg Quality
3.28
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
gFt9jHXXfYw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis reviews several cryptocurrency pairs, including BTCUSDT, ETHUSDT, XRPUSDT, and MYXUSDT, on varying timeframes from 5 minutes to daily. BTCUSDT is shown forming a continuation pattern, targeting support around 111040, the market trend in general is in a consolidation state with 111350 as a price for possible short. For ETHUSDT, a longer-term sideways trend is noted, with a bearish sentiment aiming for a price to drop 3500. XRPUSDT is analyzed with a cup and handle formation, predicting an increase to six to ten dollars long-term and the analysis mention $5 as a target. For MYXUSDT, it shows heavily overbought conditions with short-term bearish indicators. A potential target of five point some and with resistance area around 3.40.

Original Caption

Welcome to the livestream! We are diving into everything crypto & trading. Join the EPIQ Trading Floor, comes with a 3-day risk-free trial: https://epiqtradingfloor.com

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal