Prediction Case File
CPRTstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

The Patient Investor2025-09-10T22:14:11long_termfundamental
Live Outcome
-17.58%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
48.52999878
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
59
Predicted objective
Invalidation
40
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
48.07
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
21.57%
Initial Invalidation Distance
17.58%
Risk / Reward
1.23
Timeframe
Long Term
Live Position
-17.58%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-10T22:14:11
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-06T15:30:00
Resolved At
2025-11-06T15:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-06T15:30:00
Max High
49.04999924
Max High At
-
Min Low
43.31999969
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,361.25h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

The Patient Investor
YouTube · @thepatientinvestorr
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33.49%
Consistency
82.73
Risk Adjusted
-7.99
Avg Return
-1.07%
Avg Quality
3.5
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
3iCuVYcAjps
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

This is a fundamental analysis of two stock CPRT and UBER. The first stock, Copart, is currently priced at $48.07, down -14.65% year to date. He states he is looking for a target price of $59 and owns call options going into 2027. He explains that Copart makes revenue in two ways, service revenue which is currently up 7.1% and vehicle sales. Next is UBER, which is showing a strong YTD returns, this is a very disliked stock. Price of the stock is $94.36 with a target price of around $110, for a stock that the market underappreciates. Uber's moat and also annual earnings per share growth, of 30% or greater. Analyst are showing that earnings will continue to grow as this will impact the share price. Looking at delivery segment gross bookings are up 20% in 2025.

Original Caption

Friends! In this video, I'm going to talk about the best quality stocks to consider MY PORTFOLIO & DISCORD: https://www.patreon.com/patientinvestor MY TWITTER: https://twitter.com/patientinvestt FREE access to Fiscal.Ai for 2 weeks & 15% off if you decide to subscribe: https://fiscal.ai/?via=Patient

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal