Prediction Case File
TONUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Jacob Crypto Bury2025-09-10T23:00:24monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-20.86%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
3.159
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
7
Predicted objective
Invalidation
2.5
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3.13
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
121.59%
Initial Invalidation Distance
20.86%
Risk / Reward
5.83
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-20.86%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-10T23:00:24
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T20:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T20:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T20:00:00
Max High
3.266
Max High At
-
Min Low
2.393
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
716.98h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Jacob Crypto Bury
YouTube · @JacobCryptoBury
Reliability
44.32
Success Rate
30.1%
Consistency
80.23
Risk Adjusted
-26.25
Avg Return
-6.72%
Avg Quality
3.26
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
Q3lMLEO2qho
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on several cryptocurrencies. AAVEUSDT has experienced volatility, ranging between $220 and $350, with a predicted target of $400 by year's end. PUMPUSDT shows a potential to reach $0.0061. PEPENODEUSDT is currently in presale, with potential mining and staking rewards. TONUSDT, now priced at $3.13 after a drop from $7.77, is consolidating. All symbols are expected to move bullish.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal