Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Jebb2025-09-12T22:28:54dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-6.16%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
116,156.54
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
118,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
109,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
115,015
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
1.59%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.16%
Risk / Reward
0.26
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-6.16%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-12T22:28:54
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-25T17:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-25T17:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-25T17:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
306.52h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Jebb
YouTube · @CryptoJebb
Reliability
43.95
Success Rate
29.33%
Consistency
88.55
Risk Adjusted
-9
Avg Return
-2.5%
Avg Quality
3.42
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
r7bpaJAVdHU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis forecasts a bullish trend for Bitcoin, projecting a move towards $118,000 by September 17th, based on an inverse head and shoulders pattern with a potential target of $120,000. A Fibonacci retracement places the golden pocket between $117,800 and $118,400. Bullish signals are noted in the MACD and RSI. A bullish outlook for gold and the S&P 500 supports the Bitcoin prediction. Liquidations are anticipated between $116,000 and $117,000, cautioning against a bearish dollar index breakout. A potential setback is considered if a CME futures gap forms, with a preference for sideways trading, the failure bound is placed at 109000. The analyst mentions for gold a target price of 3700 and for SPY 660.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal