Prediction Case File
AMZNstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

The Traveling Trader2025-09-11T04:04:25monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.7%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
230.36000061
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
242.7
Predicted objective
Invalidation
221.83
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
232.33
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
5.36%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.7%
Risk / Reward
1.45
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-3.7%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
100%
Actionable
100%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate100.00%
Actionable100.00%
Derived Quality96.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-11T04:04:25
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-23T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-09-23T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-23T13:30:00
Max High
235.8999939
Max High At
-
Min Low
221.22999573
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
297.42h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

The Traveling Trader
YouTube · @TheTravelingTrader
Reliability
57.78
Success Rate
48.75%
Consistency
89.94
Risk Adjusted
-1.91
Avg Return
1.19%
Avg Quality
3.66
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
UVUPlnc0z2w
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a technical analysis for MNQ1!, ES1!, and AMZN. The speaker suggests a short position on MNQ1! down to 23830.00, setting a stop loss to 23970.00. The trader also indicates they have a long position on AMZN with a target around 242.70. The analysis mentions that the current price of 10 year treasury yield is at 4.002% and it’s important to keep it below that. Also, it’s important to take into account the current high of the PPI.

Original Caption

Trade live with me every morning: https://whop.com/thetravelingtrader Get Public here: https://www.pqr3ntrk.com/B9KLQL/225JFQ/ If you're only interested in long term investing (not trading) you can still get my long term market insights at a more affordable tier ($35 a month!): https://whop.com/investing-floor/ 80% off Apex funded accounts plus 1 Day Pass. Use code TTT at checkout. https://apextraderfunding.com/member/aff/go/thetravelingtrader My favorite trading journal Tradezella. Take 20% off the annual plan with code TTT20 at checkout: https://tradezella.com?fpr=ttt36 Get TradingView here: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=146154 Follow me on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/thetravel1ngtrader/ Follow me on X! https://twitter.com/zthetrader ️ Get the free weekly watchlist here: https://whop.com/the-traveling-trader/?pass=prod_LP92xMiKKjgt7 Join this channel to get access to perks: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCWt3Cx6RrHX86_yF4I7f1LA/join Join the FREE Discord here: https://discord.gg/aUG5Zx2 Get MarketChameleon here: https://marketchameleon.com/?pap_aid=travelingtrader Get TradingView here: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=146154 Live Coverage of CPI Inflation Data Release: Will We Meet Expectations of 2.9% YoY? Join us for an exclusive live stream as we delve into one of the most anticipated economic events of the year: the release of the Core PCE Inflation data. Who Should Tune In? Investors, day trader, and traders seeking to make informed decisions based on the latest economic data. Students and enthusiasts of economics interested in real-world application of economic concepts. Everyday consumers looking to understand how inflation rates can affect their purchasing power. Don't miss out on this exciting live coverage of the CPI inflation data release! Subscribe to our channel, set a reminder, and join us for an enlightening discussion on whether we'll meet the projected 2.6% YoY inflation expectation. See you there! Subscribe and turn on notifications to stay updated on future economic events and market analysis. ▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬ Stock market live. Stock market livestream. #stockmarket #live #daytrading

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal