Prediction Case File
AVAXUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Cilinix Crypto2025-09-19T13:52:47weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-19.59%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
34.2
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
40.98
Predicted objective
Invalidation
27.5
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
34.27
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
19.82%
Initial Invalidation Distance
19.59%
Risk / Reward
1.01
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-19.59%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-19T13:52:47
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-26T11:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-26T11:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-26T11:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
165.12h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Cilinix Crypto
YouTube · @CilinixCrypto
Reliability
54.7
Success Rate
44.38%
Consistency
90.95
Risk Adjusted
-4.87
Avg Return
-0.58%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
zQpQgwqdt7w
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes AVAXUSDT, indicating a breakout above $31.30. It mentions a $31.5 to $32 zone, and identifies imbalances around $31.5 to $32 and $28 to $27, with a target of $40-$41. The analysis expects a pullback to the 0.382 fib level around the 7-day Rolling VWAP, approximately between $30 and $31, for consolidation before continuing upward momentum. Bearish divergences are noted on the hourly timeframe, with support around $27.50. Overall, bullish continuation is expected. However, given the observed hourly bearish divergence, the model has included a negative markdown to the 'principled' parameter to account for that lower-timeframe observation that may affect that time aspect of the analysis.

Original Caption

AVALANCHE AVAX PRICE PREDICTION 2025 Join the Signal group for Great Trades & becoming Profitable! https://www.patreon.com/cilinixcrypto https://discord.gg/yQbebHvNea (In the Signals Entry channel) https://t.me/cilinixcryptogroup (In the Group Bio) https://www.cilinix.com/#/ Signal Group Reviews https://www.trustpilot.com/review/cilinix.com ️Register on Bybit now and receive a free $ bonus! https://partner.bybit.com/b/28097 ️ Social links! www.cilinix.com https://twitter.com/cilinixcrypto cilinixfxcapital@gmail.com @CilinixCrypto Disclaimer: This video is not financial advice and it is not intended to be. This video is for informational and educational purposes only and does not provide advice in any type of way.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal