Prediction Case File
BTC1!cryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2025-09-19T07:08:17dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.54%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
117,565
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
97,265
Predicted objective
Invalidation
118,195
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
117,505
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
17.27%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.54%
Risk / Reward
32.22
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-0.54%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-19T07:08:17
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Resolved Candle
2025-10-01T14:00:00
Max High
118,310
Max High At
2025-10-01T14:00:00
Min Low
108,555
Min Low At
2025-09-25T18:00:00
Time To Result
5,802.35h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.16
Success Rate
45.15%
Consistency
92.19
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.82%
Avg Quality
3.56
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
jUCbL7Kashg
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin CME futures, noting an 8-count sell signal today, September 19, 2025, following a 7-count signal yesterday. The presenter points out similar signals in July and May preceded price drops. The current price is 117505. A target of 97265 is identified. A fail bound of 118195 is calculated.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal