Prediction Case File
OPENstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2025-09-18T00:36:45monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-13.68%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
10.19499969
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
11.27
Predicted objective
Invalidation
8.8
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
9.94
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
10.54%
Initial Invalidation Distance
13.68%
Risk / Reward
0.77
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-13.68%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-18T00:36:45
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-22T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-09-22T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-22T13:30:00
Max High
10.48999977
Max High At
-
Min Low
8.71000004
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
108.88h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.35
Success Rate
39.62%
Consistency
88.45
Risk Adjusted
-8.5
Avg Return
-0.87%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
D3WKwKIR9-k
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The presenter provides a technical analysis of the stock OPEN. OPEN has surged to $10.87 today and is currently trending between $9.90 and $10. The speaker indicates that the overall day has played out with a volatile spike created by management's commitment to ongoing shareholder engagement and plans for service expansion throughout the US, leading to a 70% surge in one day reaching a high of around $10.50. The analysis predicts that the stock will reach a price target of $11.27. They mention that if the stock keeps trending upwards it might hit the price of $11.27. The failure point for this analysis is $8.80 because OPEN stock showing buyer strength based on hourly chart.

Original Caption

Using Technical Analysis, we analyzed Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) stock and predicted where price would go within the next few days to weeks. If you found value from this video, consider subscribing for more! Comment your $OPEN price predictions below and any other stocks that you would like me to cover! Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor #openstock #stockmarketanalysis #technicalanalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal