Prediction Case File
AIstockbearishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Rick Orford - Trading Stocks and Options2025-09-20T23:00:55dailyfundamental
Live Outcome
10.64%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
17.90500069
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
16
Predicted objective
Invalidation
22
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
17.6
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
10.64%
Initial Invalidation Distance
22.87%
Risk / Reward
0.47
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
10.64%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality72.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-20T23:00:55
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-04T16:30:00
Resolved At
2025-11-04T16:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-04T16:30:00
Max High
20.21999931
Max High At
-
Min Low
16.92000008
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,073.48h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Rick Orford - Trading Stocks and Options
YouTube · @RickOrford
Reliability
46.21
Success Rate
32.35%
Consistency
71.23
Risk Adjusted
-10.62
Avg Return
0.64%
Avg Quality
3.57
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
qmm_4GtkBkQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video discusses C3.ai's stock performance, noting it has decreased by almost 50% this year. The core argument is C3.ai missed its guidance on both revenue and losses. As a result, the stock crashed overnight from $22 to $16. The analysis infers a bearish trend.

Original Caption

C3.ai stock plunged almost 50% this year. They missed their own guidance on revenue and losses, causing the stock to crash. Is this the end, or a massive rebound? #C3AI #StockMarket #Investment #Finance #Stocks #Trading #MarketAnalysis #Rebound

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal