Prediction Case File
PENGUUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

More Crypto Online2025-09-21T08:01:04intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-21.03%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.034988
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.03792
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.02763
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.03515
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
8.38%
Initial Invalidation Distance
21.03%
Risk / Reward
0.4
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-21.03%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-21T08:01:04
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-25T12:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-25T12:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-25T12:00:00
Max High
0.034988
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.027533
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
99.97h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

More Crypto Online
YouTube · @morecryptoonline
Reliability
46.92
Success Rate
33.4%
Consistency
84.65
Risk Adjusted
-14.95
Avg Return
-4.52%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
nW9ZnKAAAxs
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis indicates that PENGUUSDT is currently in a potential wave two correction. The correction may have bottomed out in September. The analysis watches for higher prices in a wave five towards 0.07 cents. The analysis looks for an upside potential for wave 3, 4 and 5. Wave one of five has likely completed. A potential target of 0.03792 is identified as the 100% extension of wave. Key levels to watch include the 0.0296, 0.0276. A support level is located around 0.033. If the price holds above 0.029, it supports the scenario that a circle wave four indeed bottomed early in September. The formal invalidation point for this 1-2 setup is at 0.0276, which corresponds to the September low.

Original Caption

Join the Morecryptoonline Crypto Service https://www.mcoglobal.com/subscriptions Voucher code: GOLDSUB PENGU Goes Parabolic – Elliott Wave Setup Playing Out on Pudgy Penguins - Technical Analysis ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MCO Global: https://www.mcoglobal.com/ ️ Join the FREE Newsletter: https://mcoglobal.com/newsletter/ Join the Morecryptoonline Crypto Service https://www.mcoglobal.com/subscriptions OR https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCngIhBkikUe6e7tZTjpKK7Q/join OR https://www.patreon.com/morecryptoonline Join the S&P500 & Stocks Service https://www.patreon.com/moretradingonline Subscribe for Free to More Trading Online: https://www.youtube.com/@moretradingonline Subscribe for Free to More Forex Online: https://www.youtube.com/@MoreForexOnline ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Social Media: WhatsApp News & Updates: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaZ0h5B3mFYBkWRWCY0K X / Twitter: https://x.com/Morecryptoonl Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/morecryptoonline_official/ Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/MCOGlobal/ Facebook: https://facebook.com/morecryptoonline Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/more-crypto-online/ Tiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@more_crypto_online All MCO Global Links: https://linktr.ee/morecryptoonline ️ In case of questions just reach out to us: info@morecryptoonline.com ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Exchanges / Products (Affiliate Links): Trade on Bybit: https://partner.bybit.com/b/MCO Bitget: Trade with Bitget: https://partner.bitget.com/bg/MoreCryptoOnline TradingView: https://bit.ly/Crypto_Tradingview Trade on Coinbase: https://bit.ly/MCOinbase Trade on Kucoin: Receive a 20% fee discount: https://www.kucoin.com/r/af/QBSSSL4T Trade with eToro: https://etoro.tw/3oFUKCk Trade with Trading212: Receive shares worth up to $100: https://bit.ly/Trading212MCO Protect your cryptocurrencies with Trezor: https://bit.ly/morecryptoonline Protect your cryptocurrencies with Ledger: https://shop.ledger.com/?r=0fb3c8be2e46 Stay safe with NordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/SH4s0

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal