Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wolves of Crypto2025-09-22T12:48:53weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-6.74%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
4,181.9
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
4,956
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,900
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
4,198
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
18.51%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.74%
Risk / Reward
2.75
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-6.74%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-22T12:48:53
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-25T17:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-25T17:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-25T17:00:00
Max High
4,229.03
Max High At
-
Min Low
3,815
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
76.18h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wolves of Crypto
YouTube · @WolvesOfCrypto_
Reliability
49.12
Success Rate
36.57%
Consistency
86.92
Risk Adjusted
-17.47
Avg Return
-2.45%
Avg Quality
3.52
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
jNvCcvf6w6U
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis discusses Bitcoin's recent breakdown from an ascending wedge formation, noting that the 113,000 support did not hold. Bitcoin is currently in free fall. The support is coming from other charts like the Total Crypto Market Cap, but not from Bitcoin. Important support levels are 118,000 as the level to pass as soon as possible and not getting below 107,000. Bitcoin has rejected from the ascending wedge and is currently testing a yellow line. The 100 exponential moving average may provide support. The analyst remains macro bullish, trusting the cycle. The short-term chart shows weakness. Ethereum had a breakdown today. Total 3 (Altcoin Market Cap) seems to be holding a support zone but the analyst is concerned about the growing uncertainty. The SP500 may be forming a blow off top.

Original Caption

Topic Overview 0:00-1:24 The Bitunix Exchange 1:24-2:00 Analysis 2:00-11:26 The Bitunix Exchange 11:26-12:05 Bitunix Exchange Referral Link (Referral Code: 543w) - NON KYC - Lifelong 15% Fee Discount - Up To $8000 In Rewards: https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=543w Telegram Community Group Chat: https://t.me/+TD-btyDvq0xjOWU1 The Crypto Academy Website: https://www.thecryptoacademy.courses/ Business Inquiries Contact: wolvesofcryptocontact@gmail.com LEGAL DISCLAIMER: It is worth noting that this video, as with all Wolves Of Crypto content, is a representation of my personal opinions on the market and should in no way be considered direct financial advice in any form. I am not responsible for your investment decisions or outcomes, analyze the charts for yourself before proceeding with a trade. This applies to every investment decision in cryptocurrency, stock market and any financial market - including investment decisions directly related to Bitcoin BTC, Ethereum ETH & any other altcoin. This also applies regardless of the wording that I use in my content such as phrases like "you should do x" and "I suggest you do y".

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal