Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2025-09-25T15:56:52monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-6.46%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
426.76010132
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
523.57
Predicted objective
Invalidation
399.19
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
444.98
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
22.68%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.46%
Risk / Reward
3.51
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-6.46%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-25T15:56:52
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-14T05:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-14T05:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-14T05:00:00
Max High
426.76010132
Max High At
-
Min Low
426.76010132
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,189.05h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.9
Success Rate
32.95%
Consistency
89.79
Risk Adjusted
-4.34
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
IE-3veWPUSs
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis for TSLA indicates a potential target of $523.57 within 5 to 8 months if the stock settles above $361.30. A shorter-term target of $523.57 is possible in 3 to 5 weeks. If TSLA settles above $458.82, it will confirm the bullish outlook. Profit-taking is recommended at $444.98, with a potential dip to the $432.81 rising channel bottom. A close below $432.81 could lead to a test of $399.19 within a week. The weekly chart shows resistance at $458.82, potentially containing buying through October. A fall back into the $360s is possible in 3 to 5 weeks. Two scenarios for selling are presented: selling strength at $454.36 or selling weakness below $432.81. If TSLA closes below $432.81, a retest of $399.19 is expected within a week or two. A close above $458.82 would signal a continuation towards $523.57 by the end of October.

Original Caption

Tesla is coiling at $440. A push through $444.98 opens the door to $454.36 and possibly the key $458.82 pivot. Staying below $432.81 risks a slide toward $399. Above $458.82, the path clears for a run to $523.57. Full $TSLA Analysis for 25 Sep, 2025

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal