In this episode, Nik delivers a full global macro update with Bitcoin at a critical crossroads. He explains why funding rates are rolling off, volatility is at record structural lows, and how support levels could determine the next major move for Bitcoin. The update also explores the Bitcoin–gold ratio and why it fits into a long-term power law path, with Bitcoin continuing to outperform traditional stores of value. Nik connects these signals to Fed policy, the Treasury market, and dollar weakness, showing how liquidity conditions are shaping risk markets and Bitcoin itself. Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don’t pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit unchained.com/tbl and use the code TBL10 for a 10% credit towards your first year's account fees. Blockstream delivers cutting-edge Bitcoin infrastructure. Discover the top-rated Blockstream Jade hardware wallet for secure offline storage, and explore the Blockstream Satellite for a seamless offline Bitcoin node experience — all available at the Blockstream Store. Visit: https://store.blockstream.com/discount/TBL for 10% off entire order. Arch Lending is the Bitcoin-native solution for unlocking liquidity without selling your Bitcoin. Secure a loan using your Bitcoin as collateral, with zero rehypothecation and institutional-grade custody. Whether you're buying a home or investing in your business, Arch Lending helps you access capital while staying long BTC. Learn more at: archlending.com ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch ️ ₿lock Height 916344 Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Creative Director Matthew Ball's Twitter: https://twitter.com/matthewrball Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Chapters: 00:25 Deep Dive: Bitcoin Funding & Leverage 01:43 Bitcoin Volatility Trends & Maturity 03:09 Leverage, Volatility & Market Setups 04:13 Key Levels: Bitcoin Price Support 05:33 Liquidity Metrics & Market Correlations 06:29 Bitcoin vs Gold: Price & Ratio Analysis 08:38 Power Laws & The Future of BTC/Gold 10:04 Historical Context: Bitcoin & Gold 11:39 Market Consolidation & ETF Influence 12:48 Interest Rates & Fed Macro Policy 14:09 Fed Independence & Policy Context 16:24 Yield Curve: 2-Year & 30-Year Overview 18:13 Yield Contributors & Inflation Expectations 20:12 Treasury Market Strength & Volatility 21:13 US Dollar Index: DXY & Market Impact 22:13 The Dollar's Future & US Expansion 23:11 Treasury Bills, Deficits & Issuance 25:03 Fiscal Sustainability & Economic Statecraft