Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Jebb2025-09-23T21:57:27monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.05%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
112,178.33
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
130,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
111,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
112,900
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
15.89%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.05%
Risk / Reward
15.12
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-1.05%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality72.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-23T21:57:27
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-25T13:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-25T13:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-25T13:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
39.03h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Jebb
YouTube · @CryptoJebb
Reliability
43.95
Success Rate
29.33%
Consistency
88.55
Risk Adjusted
-9
Avg Return
-2.5%
Avg Quality
3.42
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
s6S3iy2iDcA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis begins with Bitcoin, currently at $112,900, expecting a rally to $130,000 by October 15th and invalidation at $111,000. An inverse head and shoulders pattern are also talked about. The S&P 500 has seen parabolic growth this century, which he believes is unsustainable. He is expecting it to have an economic downfall and believes the dollar is no longer trustworthy. He believes that a result of these factors and gold breaking $2,000 and $3,000 is that people are leaving soft investments like stocks and going into hard assets such as gold and Bitcoin. Gold has grown in value 1100% since the turn of the century, and bitcoin has performed the best, according to the analyst. He is expecting money to rotate from gold to bitcoin.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal