Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Discover Crypto2025-10-01T17:33:54dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-7.05%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
117,472.57
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
134,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
109,190
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
117,190
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
14.07%
Initial Invalidation Distance
7.05%
Risk / Reward
2
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-7.05%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-01T17:33:54
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
219.43h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Discover Crypto
YouTube · @DiscoverCrypto_
Reliability
43
Success Rate
28.24%
Consistency
76.64
Risk Adjusted
-15.03
Avg Return
-4.66%
Avg Quality
3.23
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
CqiqZdTXv70
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The speaker analyzes Bitcoin using a 4-hour head and shoulders pattern. The neckline of the pattern is identified to measure the distance and then the target. The potential target for this pattern indicates a reach of $120,000 tomorrow or the next day. A more distant symmetrical triangle shows the potential for a break out to $134,700. Given that the asset is trading at $117,190 in a 4-hour period, analysis concludes that a short position on a small time frame is not optimal.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal