Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Moneyvest2025-10-02T04:22:48dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-13.16%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
459.47000122
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
490
Predicted objective
Invalidation
399
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
459
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
6.64%
Initial Invalidation Distance
13.16%
Risk / Reward
0.5
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-13.16%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-02T04:22:48
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-14T05:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-14T05:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-14T05:00:00
Max High
459.47000122
Max High At
-
Min Low
459.47000122
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,032.62h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Moneyvest
YouTube · @moneyvestpro
Reliability
56.58
Success Rate
47.08%
Consistency
92.89
Risk Adjusted
-3.12
Avg Return
0.09%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
_uw0vM78sT4
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The presenter delivers a technical analysis of several assets, beginning with S&P 500 target around 6800 with key support levels. Tesla is headed to 490 resistance around 464 with key support and next resistance around 484. NVDIA hits a new all-time high. Health care sector is still going, target price is 148. BITT looks strong. PLTR target is set for $190, with a key support near 173. GOOG is still in rebound, next target is 256 with support around $225. ORCL is in overbought territory, resistance is around 290.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal