Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Qriptal2025-10-02T15:15:17dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.44%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
119,096.14
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
114,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
122,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
118,673.5
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
4.28%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.44%
Risk / Reward
1.75
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-2.44%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-02T15:15:17
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-03T15:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-03T15:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-03T15:00:00
Max High
122,366
Max High At
-
Min Low
119,096.14
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
23.73h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Qriptal
YouTube · @qriptal
Reliability
52.42
Success Rate
40.95%
Consistency
90.11
Risk Adjusted
-6.31
Avg Return
1.17%
Avg Quality
3.75
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
wCOuNwwx9bA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis reviews a past Bitcoin trade setup where a support area between 112900 and 113100 dollars was identified for a potential reversal to the upside. The target was 118000. A long position was initiated at 111500 based on signs of strength when 111.6 was reclaimed. The actual respect of the marked support area was inaccurate, so the analyst didn't average the long position. The first target was 118000. Then, the analyst outlines levels above and below, emphasizing a key upside level at 121000 dollars, marking it as the 12-hour and 4-hour open. It suggests a higher low and move sideways before downtrend to 114000

Original Caption

#btc #bitcoin #trading #technicalanalysis #bitcointoday #bitcoinprediction Trade with a 30% fee discount on Bitunix using our referral: https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=Qriptal Get access to our imbalance indicator: https://www.qriptal.com/

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal