Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wolves of Crypto2025-10-02T15:24:18dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-10.39%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
119,403.42
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
135,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
107,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
118,598
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
13.06%
Initial Invalidation Distance
10.39%
Risk / Reward
1.26
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-10.39%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-02T15:24:18
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
197.58h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wolves of Crypto
YouTube · @WolvesOfCrypto_
Reliability
49.12
Success Rate
36.57%
Consistency
86.92
Risk Adjusted
-17.47
Avg Return
-2.45%
Avg Quality
3.52
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
3hySgmff89I
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's potential for a macro breakout within October, historically a bullish month. It highlights a break above a trendline from 2017, now above $118,000. Past rejections from this yellow line resulted in tests against a bull market support band around $107,300. The presenter expresses a need for confirmation from macro momentum shifts before full confidence in a breakout. Potential upside targets are the local highs at $124,000, and $130,000-$135,000. The speaker is focusing in Ethereum as they think it is in Ethereum season. Also, if the Bitcoin reach $107,000, then that would indicate an failure of the current analysis.

Original Caption

Topic Overview 0:00-1:38 The Bitunix Exchange 1:38-2:31 Analysis 2:31-11:48 The Bitunix Exchange 11:48-12:40 Bitunix Exchange Referral Link (Referral Code: 543w) - NON KYC - Lifelong 15% Fee Discount - Up To $8000 In Rewards: https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=543w Telegram Community Group Chat: https://t.me/+TD-btyDvq0xjOWU1 The Crypto Academy Website: https://www.thecryptoacademy.courses/ Business Inquiries Contact: wolvesofcryptocontact@gmail.com LEGAL DISCLAIMER: It is worth noting that this video, as with all Wolves Of Crypto content, is a representation of my personal opinions on the market and should in no way be considered direct financial advice in any form. I am not responsible for your investment decisions or outcomes, analyze the charts for yourself before proceeding with a trade. This applies to every investment decision in cryptocurrency, stock market and any financial market - including investment decisions directly related to Bitcoin BTC, Ethereum ETH & any other altcoin. This also applies regardless of the wording that I use in my content such as phrases like "you should do x" and "I suggest you do y".

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal