Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Planfomo2025-07-27T21:27:08intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-4.98%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
3,823.21
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
4,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,633
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3,833
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
4.62%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.98%
Risk / Reward
0.93
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-4.98%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-07-27T21:27:08
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-01T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-01T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-01T00:00:00
Max High
3,941
Max High At
-
Min Low
3,616.66
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
98.53h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Planfomo
YouTube · @planfomo
Reliability
45.46
Success Rate
33.33%
Consistency
79.5
Risk Adjusted
-8.74
Avg Return
0.17%
Avg Quality
3.56
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
ClY7wxsTbIA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst provides a technical analysis of ETHUSDT and AVAXUSDT, predicting a bullish trend for both. ETHUSDT is currently trading at 3833 and is expected to reach 4000 soon, potentially within the next week, the analysis is invalidated at 3633. For AVAXUSDT, the analyst notes that while it's currently at 25.19, he anticipates it will reach 45. Further bullish movements in AVAXUSDT are expected if the price breaches the descending channel which could trigger targets above 50, while failure price is 15.19. He used technicals like trend lines, supply and demand to support the analysis.

Original Caption

Ethereum and Avalanche Trade Overview. These two trades perfectly illustrate the current state of the crypto market. DATASETS: http://t.me/planfomolive WHALE ROOM: https://www.planfomo.com SOCIAL MEDIA LINKS: INSTAGRAM https://www.instagram.com/planfomo TWITTER (X) https://twitter.com/planfomo WHERE DO I TRADE? Trade on ByBit: https://partner.bybit.com/b/planfomo Trade on MEXC: https://promote.mexc.com/a/Blz8TrWL Trade on BloFin: https://blofin.com/register?referral_code=hmlD7T FINANCIAL DISCLAIMER: The content on my channel is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Nothing here should be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, sell, or trade with leverage, and I am not responsible for any decisions you make based on this content. Always do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading or investment decisions. Trading and investing involve real financial risk. #bitcoin #btc #crypto #bitcoinnews #cryptomarket #btcprice #bitcoinanalysis #bitcointrading #bitcoinnewstoday #ethereum #eth #cryptotrading #cryptoupdate #cryptoinvestor #cryptoinvesting #bitcoinprice #ethereum #eth #altcoins #altseason #altcoinseason #alts #trading #tradingtips #trendline #trendlinestrategy #tradingcrypto #tradingstrategy #tradingview #tradingstrategies

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal