Prediction Case File
AAPLstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Coin Bureau2025-10-05T16:45:05intradayfundamental
Live Outcome
-0.39%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
258.01501465
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
259.1
Predicted objective
Invalidation
257
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
258.1
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
0.42%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.39%
Risk / Reward
1.07
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-0.39%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate100.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-05T16:45:05
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-06T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-10-06T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-06T13:30:00
Max High
259.07000732
Max High At
-
Min Low
255.05000305
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
20.73h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Coin Bureau
YouTube · @CoinBureau
Reliability
38.83
Success Rate
22.06%
Consistency
76.31
Risk Adjusted
-21.95
Avg Return
-6.49%
Avg Quality
3.39
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
e-D-e9cphUs
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

This video provides an analysis of ASTER, a multi-chain perpetual futures dex. ASTER looks like an overnight success story, but it's actually the result of a merger. ASTER is backed by YZILabs, rebranded Binance Labs venture arm with CZ taking advisory role. The key metrics that the video analyze are the fact that it enables trading from BNB chain, Arbitrum, Ethereum or Solana, it has a trading volume up to 104 billion dollars, also it allows earning yields from their collaterals, having an APY that has reached double digits during volatile times. Finally there is some analysis about technical side, mentioning maker and taker fees in two modes: 1001x (0.08%) and perpetual (0.01% maker and 0.035% taker). The overall insight of the video is analyzing about the possibility of making profits on this platform. A sign up link is provided which grants the user 20% reba

Original Caption

After a year of Hyperliquid dominating the perp DEX arena, CZ himself has taken the fight to them with a new rival. Aster has taken perps multichain, brought yield to collateral, and even invented stealth trading features you won’t find elsewhere. It’s certainly got everyone’s attention, but is Aster actually worth using? This complete guide will show you exactly how to get set up and make the most of Aster, so you can decide for yourself. ~~~~~ SIGN-UP LINKS 🪙 Aster (get 20% rebate for life and ASTER airdrop points) https://go.coinbureau.com/aster ~~~~~ Get The Hottest Crypto Deals https://www.coinbureau.com/deals/ ️ Join The Coin Bureau Club https://hub.coinbureau.com/ Coin Bureau Discord https://go.coinbureau.com/cb-discord Insider Info in our Socials https://www.coinbureau.com/socials/ Best Crypto Merch https://store.coinbureau.com TOP Crypto TIPS In our Newsletter https://www.coinbureau.com/newsletters/ ⭐ More Coin Bureau Channel https://www.youtube.com/@morecoinbureau Coin Bureau Trading Channel https://www.youtube.com/@CoinBureauTrading ~~~~~ OUR BRAND PARTNERS Bitget up to 50K USDT Deposit Bonus & GetAgent Plus Trial (Exclusive AI-powered Trading Assistant) https://go.coinbureau.com/bitget-getagent Get 10% Off Your Tangem Wallet https://go.coinbureau.com/tangem10 ~~~~~ Essential Videos Uranium Bull Market Incoming? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nodScrkKLX0 The $324 Trillion Global Debt Bomb https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wix6ygkxlM0 US Bitcoin Reserve LIES Exposed https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qSLorJdHHzQ ~~~~~ ~ TIMESTAMPS ~ 0:00 Intro 0:40 Overview 1:51 What is Aster? 3:52 What makes Aster different? 6:31 Adoption and the ASTER Airdrop(s) 8:25 Getting Started 10:55 Security 13:35 Your Security Checklist 15:39 Depositing Funds 17:35 Step-by-Step Deposit Process 19:13 Trading: 1001x Mode 23:00 Trading: Perpetual Mode 27:49 Fees 29:01 Withdrawals 30:25 Other Features 32:10 Summary ~~~~~ Disclaimer The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial legal or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome. #Aster #DeFi #DEX

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal