Prediction Case File
COSTstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2025-10-06T16:48:51dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.09%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
910.92999268
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
870
Predicted objective
Invalidation
930
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
913.38
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
4.49%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.09%
Risk / Reward
2.15
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-2.09%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality56.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-06T16:48:51
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-09T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-10-09T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-09T13:30:00
Max High
938.65002441
Max High At
-
Min Low
903.88000488
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
68.68h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.16
Success Rate
45.15%
Consistency
92.19
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.82%
Avg Quality
3.56
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
ptq2BNhPN8o
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst discusses the Nasdaq futures, pointing out a double bottom formation at the buy zone and its current position in the sell zone, advising caution. He identifies AMD's 36% surge due to an OpenAI deal as a key market driver and looks at its daily chart, indicating a touch near the previous all-time high. He discusses S&P 500 finding resistance and bond markets, specifically ZB1! and TLT, are in buy zones. He finds Bitcoin at new all-time highs with triggered sell signals but remaining in the sell zone for the moment and provides levels to watch on Nasdaq and S&P. This analysis is complemented by a four-hour chart review indicating an overbought S&P 500. Additionally he states there are weekly sell signals for S&P 500 and for weekly bitcoin on the daily chart.

Original Caption

Click Youtube channel link below to Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCruE6nggpVnCYclIPxATeVA/join If you like video please donate : https://paypal.me/linktoharry?country.x=CA&locale.x=en_US Free Chat Discord Server Link: https://discord.gg/8CxCNXWqjn Join Twitter / X ID : harmynder I use Crypto.com app to buy crypto : Use my referral link https://crypto.com/app/yk7nspbdad to sign up for Crypto.com and we both get $25 USD. TradingView Referral Link : https://www.tradingview.com/gopro/?share_your_love=harmynder These video's are for education only, Invest at your own risk, not a financial advise #fomc #stockmarket #daytrading #stockmarketanalysis #optionstrading #tradeideas #technicalanalysis #stockmarketcrash #us500 #mes #mnq #spx #emini #spy #us100 #ndx #qqq #us30 #dji #us2000 #iwm #russell2000 #vix #bitcoin #ethereum #btc #btcusd #eth #ethusd #crypto #cryptocurrency #gold #gc #silver #dollar #dxy #crudeoil #oil #cl #naturalgas #ng #ung #crwd #tesla #tsla #apple #appl #msft #amd #nvda #meta #nflx #amd #now #avgo #xlc #xle #xlu #xlv #xlk #xli #xlf #gdx #gdxu #gdxj #sugar #cane #corn #wheat #weat #soyabean #soyb #commodity #tqqq #sqqq #fngu #fngd #bulz #soxl #soxs #qqu #qqd #viral #viralvideo #viralshorts #nasdaq #sp500

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal