Prediction Case File
APLDstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Kenan Grace2025-10-03T03:12:12monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
13.34%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
26.46999931
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
30
Predicted objective
Invalidation
23
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
26.42
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
13.34%
Initial Invalidation Distance
13.11%
Risk / Reward
1.02
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
13.34%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
40%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-03T03:12:12
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T13:30:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
178.28h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Kenan Grace
YouTube · https://www.youtube.com/@Kenan
Reliability
48.6
Success Rate
35.91%
Consistency
84.33
Risk Adjusted
-9.74
Avg Return
-1.46%
Avg Quality
3.46
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
BTPwFzQTBJQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes the stock Applied Digital (APLD), noting a 17% increase in the past week, it's current price is $26.42 and predicts based on partnerships earnings to double by October 9, 2025. The analysis looks to use the average dollar cost effect. The analysis points out the importance of computing demand and also points out the 30, 27 and 28 options call for OCt 3. Also, the video analyzes ASML, an advanced semiconductor business, up 8% and trading at \$1030; there's a bullish trend. The analysis then shifts to Bitcoin, mentioning a prediction for it to reach $300,000-$500,000, also mentions JP Morgan prediction year-end target to \$165000, and showing one account up $113,000 this year.

Original Caption

Massive Announcement!! Masterclass with CHRIS SAIN & LARRY JONES! Let’s make history https://offer.kenangraceuniversity.com/kg-the-pathway-to-freedom-masterclass1 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Join The Best Investing Coach in the Game! __________________________________________________________ (Get My Trades) ► https://offer.kenangraceuniversity.com/kgu-bachelors-program1 __________________________________________________________ (Free Email List To Stay Updated) ► https://stockswithkenan.clickfunnels.com/newsletter-page __________________________________________________________ Best Investing App: Moomoo ► https://j.moomoo.com/00zA6m __________________________________________________________ Legal Disclaimer: I’m not a financial advisor. This video is for educational and entertainment purposes only: not financial advice. Investing involves risk. Speak with a licensed financial professional in your area before making decisions.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal