In this episode, Nik breaks down how new U.S. tariffs on China triggered a spike in volatility across global markets and sent Bitcoin lower after a strong start to October. He explains how the administration’s re-industrialization policies tie into the Fed’s rate path, the Treasury market, and housing policy. Nik covers the latest moves in oil, yields, and the yield curve, showing how the Fed’s mortgage unwind and fiscal spending cycle shape liquidity and Bitcoin’s next move. Bitcoin Age is here, order yours today: https://a.co/d/5gau08H The Bitcoin Layer is a bitcoin and global macroeconomic research firm. The Bitcoin Layer is proud to be sponsored by Unchained, the leader in Bitcoin financial services. Unchained empowers you to take full control of your Bitcoin with a collaborative multisig vault, where you hold two of three keys, and benefit from a Bitcoin security partner. Purchase Bitcoin directly into your cold storage vault and eliminate exchange risks with Unchained's Trading Desk. Unchained also offers the best IRA product in the industry, allowing you to easily roll over old 401(k)s or IRAs into Bitcoin while keeping control of your keys. Don’t pay more taxes than you have to. Talk to us today. Visit unchained.com/tbl and use the code TBL10 for a 10% credit towards your first year's account fees. Blockstream delivers cutting-edge Bitcoin infrastructure. Discover the top-rated Blockstream Jade hardware wallet for secure offline storage, and explore the Blockstream Satellite for a seamless offline Bitcoin node experience — all available at the Blockstream Store. Visit: https://store.blockstream.com/discount/TBL for 10% off entire order. Arch Lending is the Bitcoin-native solution for unlocking liquidity without selling your Bitcoin. Secure a loan using your Bitcoin as collateral, with zero rehypothecation and institutional-grade custody. Whether you're buying a home or investing in your business, Arch Lending helps you access capital while staying long BTC. Learn more at: archlending.com ▶️ Subscribe and turn on notifications for TBL on YouTube. Subscribe to TBL’s research letter: https://thebitcoinlayer.com/subscribe Subscribe to The Bitcoin Layer on your favorite podcast platform. Follow TBL on X: https://twitter.com/TheBitcoinLayer Join the official TBL channel on Telegram: https://t.me/thebitcoinlayerofficial Use code TBLYT10 for 10% off all The Bitcoin Layer Merch at http://TheBitcoinLayer.com/merch ️ ₿lock Height 918495 Contribute to The Bitcoin Layer via Lightning Network: thebitcoinlayer@zbd.gg Nik Bhatia's Twitter: https://twitter.com/timevalueofbtc Researcher Demian Schatt's Twitter: https://x.com/demianschatt Lead Statistician Augustine Carrasco Twitter: https://x.com/AugustineCarrB The Bitcoin Layer and its guests do not provide investment advice. Chapters: 00:54 Stock Market Trends & Rate Movements 02:25 US-China Policy, Rare Earths & State Capitalism 04:52 Re-Industrialization, National Security, and Rare Earths 07:02 Market Reactions: S&P 500 and Tech Stocks 09:01 The US-China Geopolitical Battle 10:05 Economic Systems, Power Shifts & Historical Context 12:11 Central Banks, Rates, and Policy Directions 13:10 Bond Market Signals & Bitcoin Cycles 14:41 Oil Prices, Inflation, and Economic Outlook 16:12 Yield Curves and Fed Policy Outlook 17:58 Liquidity, Treasury Bills, and Money Creation 21:58 Flat Yield Curve, Market Confidence & Bond Volatility 22:00 Housing Emergency & Fed Assets Explained 24:14 Fed’s Mortgage Holdings & Policy Impact 25:57 Government, Banking Deregulation & Housing Market Solutions 28:34 Liquidity, Collateral & Housing Stimulus 29:19 Bitcoin Price Action & Support Levels 30:58 Volatility, Technical Outlook & Policy Impacts 31:45 Bitcoin Trends, Recap & Interconnected Markets