Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

DataDash2025-10-10T19:11:46weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.05%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
116,816.91
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
133,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
114,423
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
119,294
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
13.85%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.05%
Risk / Reward
6.76
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-2.05%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
100%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable100.00%
Derived Quality88.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-10T19:11:46
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T20:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T20:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T20:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
0.8h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

DataDash
YouTube · @DataDash
Reliability
51.99
Success Rate
40.5%
Consistency
38.62
Risk Adjusted
-12.67
Avg Return
-0.17%
Avg Quality
3.64
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
-pYSYox9fEs
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The presenter analyzes BTC, noting it's flirting with the $119,000 area. He expresses excitement about alts, with Zcash up 700% over the last month. He analyzes ETH and SOL. He expects ETH to push higher and has a massive bullish pattern and Solana is set up to go to higher ground at 196 with targets between 253 to 333. He expects the short term will hit lower levels

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal