Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wolves of Crypto2025-10-12T10:34:48weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.81%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
111,547.47
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
121,090
Predicted objective
Invalidation
107,300
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
111,835.27
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
8.55%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.81%
Risk / Reward
2.25
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-3.81%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-12T10:34:48
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-17T06:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-17T06:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-17T06:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
115.42h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wolves of Crypto
YouTube · @WolvesOfCrypto_
Reliability
49.12
Success Rate
36.57%
Consistency
86.92
Risk Adjusted
-17.47
Avg Return
-2.45%
Avg Quality
3.52
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
03plZROx2Aw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis discusses Bitcoin and Ethereum using technical charts, focusing on macro levels and cycles. Bitcoin is analyzed for its potential for an upcoming 4 year cycle top and examines a potential breakdown from recent highs of $126,230 made October 6th. The analysis uses charts featuring bull market support bands and compares the current Bitcoin performance to 2021 and 2017 cycles, mentioning that date alone appears relevant. A horizontal level around $121,090 and the 20-week SMA or support band at $110,800 are important resistance levels and important support levels to maintain. It shows that as long as the bull market support band isn't broken. The analysis does not set an explicit target. It infers from the charts that Bitcoin is currently in the bearish segment of a trading range with an expected top before early November. For Ethereum the analysis states that Ethereum may show similar trading patterns to BTC and that the bull market support should be holding for a short range prediction.

Original Caption

Todays Topics 0:00-2:41 The Bitunix Exchange 2:41-3:35 Bitcoin's Macro Support, Weekly Close Incoming 3:35-10:24 Any Hope For Ethereum & Altcoins? 10:24-12:00 An October 6th Top Made Sense, But Can We Go Higher? 12:00-14:13 The Bitunix Exchange 14:13-14:47 Bitunix Exchange Referral Link (Referral Code: 543w) - NON KYC - Lifelong 15% Fee Discount - Up To $8000 In Rewards: https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=543w Telegram Community Group Chat: https://t.me/+TD-btyDvq0xjOWU1 The Crypto Academy Website: https://www.thecryptoacademy.courses/ Business Inquiries Contact: wolvesofcryptocontact@gmail.com LEGAL DISCLAIMER: It is worth noting that this video, as with all Wolves Of Crypto content, is a representation of my personal opinions on the market and should in no way be considered financial advice in any form, as I am not a qualified financial advisor. I am not responsible for your investment decisions or outcomes, analyze the charts for yourself before proceeding with a trade. This applies to every investment decision in cryptocurrency, stock market and any financial market - including investment decisions directly related to Bitcoin BTC, Ethereum ETH & any other altcoin. This also applies regardless of the wording that I use in my content such as phrases like "you should do x" and "I suggest you do y". Additionally, viewers are responsible for anything that happens on cryptocurrency exchanges promoted on this channel.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal