Prediction Case File
ES1!stockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Krown2025-10-13T17:00:48weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.15%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
6,689.75
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
6,400
Predicted objective
Invalidation
6,700
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
6,679
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
4.33%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.15%
Risk / Reward
28.27
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-0.15%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-13T17:00:48
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved Candle
2025-10-13T18:00:00
Max High
6,707.75
Max High At
2025-10-13T18:00:00
Min Low
6,683
Min Low At
2025-10-13T18:00:00
Time To Result
5,216.62h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Krown
YouTube · @ECKrown
Reliability
55.01
Success Rate
45.02%
Consistency
90.26
Risk Adjusted
-4.42
Avg Return
-0.27%
Avg Quality
3.49
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
pf5T-DquqTE
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst discusses Bitcoin futures, indicating a potential target of 97400, while noting a bullish sentiment above 120000. The ES1! is analyzed, pointing out a potential drop to 6400. BNBUSD is predicted to go to 1100 if it goes below 1300. SOLUSD is expected range between $170 and higher. The crypto space displays bearish indicators, especially among shitcoins. A higher time frame analysis of ENAUSD reveals a test up to .50, with a drop in the next few weeks, pointing to a target area of between one-seventy and 160, but on shorter timeframes there's signs of potential continued short-term up trend. The video outlines key price levels and areas of support and resistance, stressing overall bearish sentiment across crypto, mixed with some bullish movements of stocks and oil.

Original Caption

🟧ByBit (Inverse Perps & High Liquidity)https://partner.bybit.com/b/Cave 🟦Bitunix (No KYC & 33% Fee Discount)https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=Discount33 ⬛BloFin (No KYC & 15% discount) https://partner.blofin.com/d/Reduction All Educational Products & Indicators https://krown-trading.teachable.com/ ️ META SIGNALShttps://metasignals.io/nft Use code KROWN for 10% off FOREVER. ️Cave Discord Trading Community - https://discord.gg/3PJDRbYw44 Do not trade on any exchange that prohibits trading from your geographical region. The content in this video are only intended for entertainment purposes only. Please do your own due diligence when making decisions for yourself. #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto Bitcoin,bitcoin,btc,BTC,bitcoin price,btc price,bitcoin price prediction,btc analysis,bitcoin analysis,bitcoin news,when to buy btc,when to buy crypto,bitcoin bull market,bitcoin ta,when buy btc,crypto analysis,bitcoin technical analysis,btc technical analysis,crypto,live trading,crypto trading,crypto news,altcoin,bitcoin technical analysis today,trading crypto,bitcoin today,xrp today,btc prediction,crypto news today,altcoins,bitcoin price target 00:00 Livestream Intro 10:09 Bitcoin, US Markets, COIN & IBIT 27:31 Bitcoin Historical Price Action Statistics

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal