Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Felix & Friends (Goat Academy)2025-10-18T17:02:16weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.11%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
439.26998901
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
470
Predicted objective
Invalidation
430
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
439.77
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
7%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.11%
Risk / Reward
3.31
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-2.11%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
100%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable100.00%
Derived Quality88.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-18T17:02:16
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-22T04:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-22T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-22T04:00:00
Max High
449.79998779
Max High At
-
Min Low
439.26998901
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
82.95h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Felix & Friends (Goat Academy)
YouTube · @FelixFriends
Reliability
67.23
Success Rate
62.29%
Consistency
85.06
Risk Adjusted
-2.09
Avg Return
3.95%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
ytZh1bAx47Y
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a technical analysis of several stocks, including Palantir (PLTR), SoFi (SOFI), NVIDIA (NVDA), AMD, Intel (INTC), Tesla (TSLA), and Apple (AAPL). The analyst discusses following the 'money' by observing stock charts. For Palantir, the analyst observes a resistance around $188, with lows bouncing off the 50-day moving average line. A buy is recommended above $190. The SoFi chart is considered pretty with tightening consolidation. NVIDIA analysis indicates a loss of steam and zig-zagging sideways, with dip buyers still active. The charts for AMD indicate a breakout with recent news. For INTC, an entry point above $38 may be beneficial. For Tesla, the chart seems more of a sideways action and the analyst expects the company to reach $470. He notes that the 150-day moving average line for an investment would need to be 355.73. He suggests taking profits at certain levels, with the 50-day line showing a long bull signal since the dip on August. Apple appears to have an innovation and/or growth concern, where analysts expect $260.

Original Caption

Learn How Wall Street is Using AI to Profit https://felixfriends.org/training Get my covered call calculator and screener: https://felixfriends.org/tradevision Meet Felix Prehn: I'm your host, Felix Prehn. My journey took me from being a novice investor to an investment banker, a corporate lawyer, and an entrepreneur. Investing was my key to early retirement at 40. My goal? To empower YOU to navigate the financial market with ease and transparency, free from the conventional financial system's noise. Let's embark on this journey to financial freedom together! ️This is from my lovely lawyers: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute and should not be construed as financial or investment advice or an offer to purchase or sell securities. The content is not personalized or tailored to a specific person or group of persons, nor to their personal investment or financial needs. You should consult a financial adviser or other investment professional authorized to provide investment advice. Investing comes with risks, including the risk of loss. Presentations of trades made by Felix Prehn or Goat Academy Ltd or its personnel are not a guarantee that any investment decision made by a student will be successful. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Some of the accounts we highlight from time to time are our top performing accounts and the results shown are not typical. Trades shown may be from simulated trading or live trading accounts. *CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN Timestamps 00:00 Intro 02:10 Palantir Stock 03:52 SoFi Stock 06:09 NVIDIA Stock 07:51 Advanced Micro Devices Stock 08:44 Intel Stock 11:38 Tesla Stock 14:08 United Health Stock 15:34 Apple Stock 16:52 NASDAQ Stock 17:55 S&P500 Stock 18:13 Volatility Index 19:12 Outro #felixprehn #tesla #palantir #sofi

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal