Prediction Case File
KMXstockbearishLive Pending

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

George Gammon2025-10-25T04:00:49monthlyfundamental
Live Outcome
-13.11%
Performance since published
Pending
Publish Price
44.26499939
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
50.06999969
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
30
Predicted objective
Invalidation
50
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
43.86
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
32.23%
Initial Invalidation Distance
12.96%
Risk / Reward
2.49
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-13.11%
active
Current Price
50.06999969
Live Score
39.99
Distance to Target Now
40.08%
Distance to Invalidation Now
-0.14%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality72.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-25T04:00:49
First Checked
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Last Checked
2026-06-11T01:31:43
Resolved
-
Resolved At
-
Resolved Candle
-
Max High
49.88499832
Max High At
2026-01-22T14:30:00
Min Low
30.26000023
Min Low At
2025-11-06T20:30:00
Time To Result
-h
Result
Pending
Validation Status
Daily
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

George Gammon
YouTube · @GeorgeGammon
Reliability
51.18
Success Rate
50%
Consistency
82.41
Risk Adjusted
0.43
Avg Return
6.74%
Avg Quality
3.39
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
dFZMnHK0qqg
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a fundamental analysis of CarMax (KMX) indicating a bearish trend due to a failing business model and subprime consumer bankruptcies. The video suggests that the economic conditions impacting CarMax shares, including declining purchasing power, rising inflation, and the effects of student loan programs are creating a "fantasy vs reality" situation that the value is going lower. A target of $30 is inferred based on the overall negative outlook and the fail bound is $50, based on the presenter saying KMX was at $90 and is presently at $43.86, down 50%.

Original Caption

Here's the link to register for the FREE WEBINAR Oct 29th https://rcp.georgegammon.com/register You'll get a $500 coupon for Rebel Capitalist Live 2026 just for attending!!

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
Yes
Verified Outcome
No
Included in Analyst Score
No
Included in Target Consensus
Yes
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
Not Final Result
Target Consensus Exclusion
-