Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

The Moon Show2025-10-26T18:20:17intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-6.11%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
4,078.09
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
5,750
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,829
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
4,071
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
41%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.11%
Risk / Reward
6.71
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-6.11%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-26T18:20:17
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-30T12:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-30T12:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-30T12:00:00
Max High
4,253.72
Max High At
-
Min Low
4,054.11
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
89.65h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

The Moon Show
YouTube · @TheMoon
Reliability
40.12
Success Rate
23.85%
Consistency
81.83
Risk Adjusted
-16.83
Avg Return
-5.17%
Avg Quality
3.43
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
Oia8KsI50iY
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst presents a weekend show on Bitcoin and champions cryptocurrencies; the video analyses BTCUSDT. He notes Bitcoin has broken through resistance, predicts it will continue to pump much higher, and discusses harmonic patterns and potential long trades. Identifies key resistance at 118,000 to 120,000. If Bitcoin manages to hold on into 110,460 there is a likelihood of us going much higher as well as the potential for long opportunities. Volume profile is seen as key to predicting positive movement. ETHUSD and ETHBTC is also discussed. ETH is noted to be within a range and for an all-time high to be met, the 4300 level needs to be broken. The analyst highlights potential upside targets for ETH at 5750 and 6350, if ETH can exceed the old 4300 POC level. He uses Fibonacci sequences and the VAH volume analysis tool. For Solana, the analysis points out key resistance zones at 210$ range as a point of interest. The analyst is personally long on Bitcoin from 107000, and is very positive on Bitcoin.

Original Caption

Start Trading and Take My Long/Short Setups 🟠 WEEX: https://www.weex.com/en/register?vipCode=3dhp ⭐⭐⭐ No KYC + Best for Traders ⭐⭐⭐ Join my FREE Telegram Trades Channel Here: https://t.me/weex_champscrypto_bot BYBIT: https://partner.bybit.com/b/tmsweekendcc 10% DISCOUNT & $30,000 BONUS Coinflare: https://www.coinflare.com/r/WEEKEND DOUBLE YOUR DEPOSIT 🟠 PIONEX: https://themoon.co/PionexBonus DEPOSIT $100, GET $100 BONUS Follow The Moon Show on X: https://x.com/@TheMoonShow Join Our Alerts Channel: https://t.me/TheMoonOfficial GET NORDVPN 72% OFF: https://nordvpn.com/themoon EURO TO CRYPTO: https://themoon.co/ShowKa.app ️ Play Medieval Empires: https://medievalempires.com Hire or Work in Crypto: https://www.CryptoJobs.com Ahmed's (Host) Channels: https://www.youtube.com/@UCMghmoDhKpaDwPsGmvWLfVQ (English Content) https://www.youtube.com/@UC7UfEIHpabGwNZpTos0XOAg (Arabic Content) THE MOON WEEKEND SHOW: Watch Ahmed (Champs Crypto) give you the best new Long & Short setups in crypto! Leave a like, or deal with the consequence of NOT leaving a like. Get in touch: show@moongroup.com #TheMoonShow #Bitcoin #Trading Timestamps: DISCLAIMER The content, opinions and other information in the videos are intended as general information and for entertainment purposes only and it is not to be construed as professional or financial advice. VIRTUAL ASSET INVESTMENTS ARE HIGH RISK AND MAY RESULT IN THE LOSS OF YOUR CAPITAL. Information in the videos is solely the opinion of the speaker who is not a financial advisor nor a firm. I do not have any representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the accuracy, validity, reliability, availability, or completeness of any information. Any reliance you place on such information is strictly at your own risk. I, including directors, officers, employees, affiliates, agents and representatives, assumes no liability for any errors or omissions in the information presented nor the availability of said information. I disclaim responsibility for any losses, injuries or damages resulting from the display or use of any information. Investing always comes with a considerable risk. I recommend viewers to do their own research before engaging in any trade activity. The channel may contain links to other channels, internet sites or technologies supplied by third parties. I do not exercise control over legality of Third-Party Sites or their compliance with applicable laws. Therefore, I explicitly disclaim liability for any loss or damage arising from your use or access to any Third-Party Sites. I do not intend to make any direct or indirect market communication to users and consumers based in the United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, the United States of America, India or China. By accessing this channel, you acknowledge and agree to the terms outlined in this disclaimer. PROMOTION AND AFFILIATES The appearance of third-party advertisements and hyperlinks does not constitute an endorsement, guarantee, warranty, or recommendation by me. I am not your broker, intermediary, representative, agent, or advisor. This channel is not responsible for the performance of sponsors or affiliates. The promotion only reflects my personal honest opinion of the product. I may receive compensation for the promotions in my videos. Conduct your own research before deciding to use any third-party service. This video contains affiliate partnership with Bybit, WEEX, Pionex & Coinflare

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal