Prediction Case File
AAPLstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Kenan Grace2025-07-25T23:57:44monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.85%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
213.96000671
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
216
Predicted objective
Invalidation
210
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
214
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
0.95%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.85%
Risk / Reward
0.52
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-1.85%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
40%
Actionable
40%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate40.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality44.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-07-25T23:57:44
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-07-30T14:30:00
Resolved At
2025-07-30T14:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-07-30T14:30:00
Max High
214.84500122
Max High At
-
Min Low
209.61999512
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
110.53h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Kenan Grace
YouTube · https://www.youtube.com/@Kenan
Reliability
48.6
Success Rate
35.91%
Consistency
84.33
Risk Adjusted
-9.74
Avg Return
-1.46%
Avg Quality
3.46
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
asUk1MKwr_Q
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes WeBull, BigBear.ai, and Apple stocks using technical analysis. It identifies buy points for WeBull at $13 and $10, suggesting heavier investment at $10. For BigBear.ai, the video mentions the next low point at the low $7 range and high potential. For Apple suggests setting a stop between 212 and 216 as the actual price has been set into a range. Finally it mentions long term trades, which is the Apple and has 28% less cash than a year before. The video suggests to know when a stock graduates to long term before deciding when to hold or not.

Original Caption

Smart Investors are about to get rich! __________________________________________________________ Annual Membership: (Most New Members Choose This Deal) ► https://whop.com/doctorate-yr (Annual Save 39%) Monthly Membership: ► https://whop.com/kenan-grace __________________________________________________________ ► (Free Email List): https://stockswithkenan.clickfunnels.com/newsletter-page __________________________________________________________ Legal Disclaimer: I’m not a financial advisor. This video is for educational and entertainment purposes only: not financial advice. Investing involves risk. Speak with a licensed financial professional in your area before making decisions.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
AAPL Bullish Signal by Kenan Grace | Tahlil Plus AI