Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Coinsider2025-07-26T04:54:30dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.22%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
3,750.78
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
8,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,630
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3,635
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
113.29%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.22%
Risk / Reward
35.18
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-3.22%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality56.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-07-26T04:54:30
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-01T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-01T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-01T00:00:00
Max High
3,941
Max High At
-
Min Low
3,616.66
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
139.08h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Coinsider
YouTube · @Coinsider
Reliability
40.8
Success Rate
27.87%
Consistency
83.22
Risk Adjusted
-12.06
Avg Return
-2.01%
Avg Quality
3.23
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
NjICLAzg7P4
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, SOLETH and TOTAL3ETH. Bitcoin corrected by 3% dropping to $115,736. The Etherium is at $3635 and XRP dropped. There is a bitcoin dominance chart that is presented also DXY US dollar that has been low.. The next few market events on top for which the presenter did not express his preference, some indicators discussed included pwell multiple, cycle Rainbow Chart. It is said, the Bitcoin's RSI hit record lows.

Original Caption

Let's take a look at various top indicators for Bitcoin/crypto and see which ones are complete BS and voodoo magic vs actually logical and may potentially work for this upcoming cycle. Join the best community of retail investors: https://retaildao.xyz/ Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 2:21 Market Pulse 8:00 Galaxy Dumping BTC 12:19 Which Top Indicators Work? 34:35 KOL Call Tracking 43:01 Change my Mind 45:00 Join Retail DAO #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Ethereum #Top #Indicators #Bull #Market

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal