Prediction Case File
GOOGLstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

The Patient Investor2025-11-01T18:57:02monthlyfundamental
Live Outcome
-6.69%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
281.17999268
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
220
Predicted objective
Invalidation
300
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
281.19
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
21.76%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.69%
Risk / Reward
3.25
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-6.69%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-01T18:57:02
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-19T14:30:00
Resolved At
2025-11-19T14:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-19T14:30:00
Max High
285.52999878
Max High At
-
Min Low
279.79998779
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
427.53h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

The Patient Investor
YouTube · @thepatientinvestorr
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33.49%
Consistency
82.73
Risk Adjusted
-7.99
Avg Return
-1.07%
Avg Quality
3.5
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
83C1URWSeqY
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video presents a fundamental analysis of the Magnificent Seven stocks, post-earnings reports, starting with Amazon, its potential from robotics in warehouses, and that the company will increase the profit margins, a mention to AWS revinue % quarterly change and all the Amazon points mentioned are not priced in and an increase to 20% is expected.. Next, the video analyzes Alphabet and its AI transition, noting its recent recovery after having some losses in relation to the other Magnificent 7, the speaker expects 30% EPS (Earnings Per Share). For Meta, the speaker notes its large daily active user base and expects monetization, with a high valuation. Finally, the speaker has mixed sentiment on Nvidia due to expectations of increased competition, and also does not have a strong thesis on Tesla.

Original Caption

Friends! In This Video Im going to Analyze the Magnificent 7 Stocks. MY PORTFOLIO & DISCORD: https://www.patreon.com/patientinvestor MY TWITTER: https://twitter.com/patientinvestt FREE ACCESS To Fiscal.AI & 15% off if you decide to subscribe https://fiscal.ai/?via=Patient 0:00 Amazon 4:56 Google 9:16 Meta 11:59 Microsoft 15:04 Apple 17:46 Nvidia 22:16 Tesla

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal