Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Satoshi Stacker2025-11-02T13:16:08dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-4.11%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
110,545.6
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
114,500
Predicted objective
Invalidation
106,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
110,508
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
3.58%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.11%
Risk / Reward
0.87
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-4.11%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-02T13:16:08
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-03T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-03T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-03T00:00:00
Max High
110,750
Max High At
-
Min Low
109,471.34
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
10.72h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Satoshi Stacker
YouTube · @stackersatoshi
Reliability
50.64
Success Rate
38.71%
Consistency
89.82
Risk Adjusted
-8.43
Avg Return
-2.34%
Avg Quality
3.55
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
N86kxDXzIn4
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis examines Bitcoin, Ethereum, Solana, BNB, and Gold. Bitcoin's daily candle rests on $110,000 support and anticipates testing $114,500. Ethereum and Solana show sideways action. BNB mirrors this sideways trend. Gold faces resistance at an orange box range and is likely to trend down. A long position is entered at $110,500 on bitcoin, targeting the previous swing high. In case of a downturn, accumulation is planned at $106,000 and $100,000.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal