Prediction Case File
SPXstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Moneyvest2025-07-29T00:44:51dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.18%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
6,389.58007813
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
6,300
Predicted objective
Invalidation
6,401.07
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
6,389.76
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
1.4%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.18%
Risk / Reward
7.8
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-0.18%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-07-29T00:44:51
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-07-29T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-07-29T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-07-29T13:30:00
Max High
6,409.25976563
Max High At
-
Min Low
6,389.58007813
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
12.75h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Moneyvest
YouTube · @moneyvestpro
Reliability
56.58
Success Rate
47.08%
Consistency
92.89
Risk Adjusted
-3.12
Avg Return
0.09%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
UXl0zQiM-zE
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The S&P 500 is at an all-time high, expecting a pullback with support at 6300. NASDAQ is also at an all-time high, expecting it to go down to 20200. TSLA is expected to show momentum, but no numbers are mentioned. NVDA has new support at 174.5. For Amazon, it is expected to show momentum to 241. AVGO resistance stays put at 281, further pullbacks for Netflix are expected to reach 821 support. RSI reading for S&P 500 remains over 75.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal