Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Jacob Crypto Bury2025-11-05T23:52:17weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-19.25%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
103,981.99
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
36,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
124,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
108,840.25
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
65.38%
Initial Invalidation Distance
19.25%
Risk / Reward
3.4
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-19.25%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-05T23:52:17
First Checked
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Last Checked
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Resolved
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Resolved At
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Resolved Candle
2025-08-14T00:00:00
Max High
124,474
Max High At
2025-08-14T00:00:00
Min Low
74,508
Min Low At
2025-04-07T07:00:00
Time To Result
4,658.25h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Jacob Crypto Bury
YouTube · @JacobCryptoBury
Reliability
44.33
Success Rate
30.1%
Consistency
80.23
Risk Adjusted
-26.25
Avg Return
-6.72%
Avg Quality
3.26
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
PLGRZnz-AyU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis examines Bitcoin's price action and market dominance to estimate future price corrections. It begins by noting Bitcoin's impressive 700% gain since 2022, setting the stage for a perfect correction. It highlights that many traders tend to quit at market bottoms and enter at market tops, which usually creates a cycle of criticism and losses. Using charts, the analysis shows that although the market has pulled back from a market cap of 4.28T, it is at summer 2025 levels with altcoins dominance slipping. It's noted that Bitcoin remains up 49% year-over-year, though interest and search volume are diminished. One section discusses market cycle theory by measuring from the top of 2017 to a cycle low of 3173, after 1008 days, Bitcoin hit 69000. The analysis uses 1000 days from the last low to the current price. It is also analyzed how much time bitcoin spent above its previous cycle, the previous was 67K, for which bitcoin stayed 308 days above that value. It is shown that the price may come down to 36000. It would be bearish if the chart breaks key levels with an accumulation between 39-47%. Furthermore, it is important to note that if Bitcoin reaches $73,000, it would be considered an extremely worrisome sign.

Original Caption

- Buy Crypto With Bitunix - https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=JCB25 (Up to $30,000 in Bonuses!!) - Unlock Trading Signals *EVERYDAY*, Follow Smart Money & Early Alpha in our VIP Crypto Community - https://www.patreon.com/jacobcryptobury/membership - Achieve Your Crypto Goals in Jacob's Crypto Clan FREE to Join Discord - https://discord.gg/jcb - Trade and Buy Crypto with KCEX Safely, Sign up in Seconds! (BIG BONUSES WAITING $$$!) - https://www.kcex.com/register?inviteCode=QYXO92 - Get Jacob's TradeWave TRADING INDICATOR SOFTWARE, Long and Short With Ease! https://x1wave.com/ UNLOCK MASSIVE EXCHANGE SIGN UP BONUSES + SECRET REWARDS - Trade and Buy Crypto with KCEX Safely, Sign up in Seconds! (BIG BONUSES WAITING $$$!) - https://www.kcex.com/register?inviteCode=QYXO92 - Trade or Buy Crypto with Highly Trusted MEXC - https://promote.mexc.com/a/nJgW7xeZ (up to $33,000 New Trader Bonuses!) INCREASE YOUR PERSONAL GROWTH - Earn More Crypto $$$ - https://whop.com/jacobcryptobury/ - Begin Making an EXTRA $1,500 Per Month From Anywhere in the WORLD?! - http://www.jacobcryptobury.net/10kmonth The BEST Trading Software for all your Crypto needs: - Trading Software I use - https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=118247 Why is CRYPTO Crashing? -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Visit my YouTube page - https://www.youtube.com/@JacobCryptoBury?sub_confirmation=1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------- My ONLY Social links: Telegram: https://t.me/jacob_bury Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/jacobscryptoclan X: https://twitter.com/BuryCrypto Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@JacobCryptoBury Discord: https://discord.gg/jcb ANYTHING ELSE IS FAKE, THESE ARE MY ONLY SOCIAL PROFILES - I WILL NOT MESSAGE YOU VIA WHATSAPP, DISCORD, TG OR INSTAGRAM AND I WILL NEVER ASK YOU FOR ANYTHING - Stay Vigilant. For Business Inquiries: Mail: jacobcrypobury@gmail.com TG: https://t.me/jacob_bury Don't forget to leave your thoughts in the comments down below! ️ "DISCLAIMER, PLEASE READ:️ just a reminder please, crypto is extremely risky, and you should never participate in this sector if you do not want to onboard the risk of losing any money - this market is very uncertain and volatile and remains purely speculative. Nothing you see in my videos is financial advice. Please assume this is for entertainment purposes only. You must do your own research and never risk more than you can afford to lose. I am not a professional financial advisor, you must do your own due diliegence regardless of what you see or hear on the internet. Crypto is volatile and risky, so you should always take great care when leaning towards these markets. Please understand the crypto markets are very risky, and it is indeed possible to lose all of your money. AFFILIATE LINKS: Some of the links in this description could be affilaite links. I might potentially receive a small commission if you click on the links and sign up. Thank you for your continued support! ️PRESALE DISCLAIMER️ Some presales on this channel may not be intended for a UK audience and does not adhere to the UK Financial Promotions Regime. If you are accessing this Website from the UK, please exit this site immediately or tread very carefully upon doing so. ⭐ Thanks a lot for watching this video⭐ #memecoin #meme #dogecoin #shiba #brett #neiro #memecoins #SOL #solana #PEPE #WIF #BONK #FLOKI #POPCAT #MOG #MEW #BOME #cryptocurrency #bitcoin #crypto #blockchain #btc #forex #ethereum #money #bitcoinmining #trading #investment #forextrader #cryptotrading #business #entrepreneur #bitcoins #investing #bitcoinnews #cryptocurrencies #binaryoptions #invest #cryptonews #bitcointrading #forextrading #trader #bitcoincash #litecoin #eth #investor #bhfyp #crypto

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal