Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Jebb2025-11-07T01:19:13weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-7.46%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
101,580.59
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
117,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
94,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
101,127
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
15.18%
Initial Invalidation Distance
7.46%
Risk / Reward
2.03
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-7.46%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-07T01:19:13
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-16T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-16T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-16T00:00:00
Max High
104,096.36
Max High At
-
Min Low
99,260.86
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
214.67h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Jebb
YouTube · @CryptoJebb
Reliability
43.95
Success Rate
29.33%
Consistency
88.55
Risk Adjusted
-9
Avg Return
-2.5%
Avg Quality
3.42
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
kJOWxPq9lKY
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTCUSDT), currently priced at $101,127. The analyst discusses a retracement to $100,000, identifying liquidity zones between $94,000-$100,000 and $109,000-$112,000. Bitcoin briefly dropped to $99,000 before being bought up. A failure to reach the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at approximately $104,499 is noted. The analysis suggests the ongoing government shutdown and Federal Reserve rate cut uncertainty are bearish catalysts. Ending of Quantitative Tightening is identified as a bullish factor. It suggests a potential mild bear market through the year and into 2026. The video considers if $100,000 holds, with an alternate potential drop to the $75,000-80,000 range. A breakout above 100k is predicted, but if $94,000 is broken then $75,000-$80,000 may happen.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal