Prediction Case File
NVDAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Kenan Grace2025-07-30T00:08:21weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.56%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
175.50999451
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
167
Predicted objective
Invalidation
180
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
175.72
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
4.85%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.56%
Risk / Reward
1.9
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-2.56%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-07-30T00:08:21
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-07-31T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-07-31T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-07-31T13:30:00
Max High
183.28999329
Max High At
-
Min Low
175.50999451
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
37.35h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Kenan Grace
YouTube · https://www.youtube.com/@Kenan
Reliability
48.6
Success Rate
35.91%
Consistency
84.33
Risk Adjusted
-9.74
Avg Return
-1.46%
Avg Quality
3.46
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
MOcDfrGgLdg
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a financial market analysis of several stocks. The analyst discusses Celistica (CLS), currently priced at $202.00, anticipating a buying opportunity for institutions under $190.00 due to a likely rate increase causing a potential 2-4% short-term market decline. For AMD, institutions are reportedly interested at under $175.00. Palantir (PLTR), currently at $156.24, might present a buying chance, with institutional interest around $153.00. NVIDIA (NVDA) is liked under $170.00, with institutions buying around $167.00. A strategy for Applied Digital (APLD), currently $10.09, involves selling a put option with an August 1st expiration to collect a $0.18 premium, willing to buy 100 shares at $9.00.

Original Caption

Smart Investors are about to get rich! __________________________________________________________ Annual Membership: (Most New Member Choose This Deal) ► https://whop.com/doctorate-yr (Annual Save 39%) Monthly Membership: ► https://whop.com/kenan-grace __________________________________________________________ ► (Free Email List): https://stockswithkenan.clickfunnels.com/newsletter-page __________________________________________________________ Legal Disclaimer: I’m not a financial advisor. This video is for educational and entertainment purposes only: not financial advice. Investing involves risk. Speak with a licensed financial professional in your area before making decisions.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal