Prediction Case File
MSFTstockbearishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Money & Charts2025-11-08T16:00:06weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
13.45%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
496.92001343
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
430.1
Predicted objective
Invalidation
540.44
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
523.49
Original Analyst Trend
Range
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
13.45%
Initial Invalidation Distance
8.76%
Risk / Reward
1.54
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
13.45%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
100%
Actionable
100%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate100.00%
Actionable100.00%
Derived Quality96.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-08T16:00:06
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-01-29T05:00:00
Resolved At
2026-01-29T05:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-01-29T05:00:00
Max High
506.76998901
Max High At
-
Min Low
496.92001343
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,956.98h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Money & Charts
YouTube · @moneyandcharts
Reliability
53.34
Success Rate
42.06%
Consistency
93.32
Risk Adjusted
-4.24
Avg Return
-0.48%
Avg Quality
3.9
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
1yWRq-Ib8PY
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

This is a weekly technical analysis of several stocks and forex crosses. The analyst reviews Mastercard, which he views as technically bearish with a target of $432.40. Adobe has broken below support, now technically bearish, target at $219.05. Hermes’ bullish rebound has failed, with the target for the cup and handle top at $1239.50 but the support at $1639. SAP is at risk of completing a cup and handle top, downside bias with a support level of $209.10 and a textbook target of $130.38. USDSEK, target 10.4244. USDNOK, also bullish due to the completion of a falling wedge, textbook target at 10.6961 and Microsoft because the company may be forming a double top double top, target is at 430.10

Original Caption

#technicalanalysis #stockmarket #stocks #equities #microsoft #alibaba #hermes #mastercard #adobe #fx #foreignexchange #currency #amazon #nzdusd #usd This video is the weekly Technical Analysis Outlook that provides an outlook of currencies (foreign exchange) and equities (stocks) based on technical analysis. The first part of this video will be reviews of the names I covered in past videos, followed by new names that I will start covering and reviewing in future videos. Towards the end of this video will be several names in which I will cease coverage. I have put in timestamps in the description, please use them to jump to names that interest you. TIME STAMPS Disclaimer: 00:12 REVIEW Mastercard: 00:50 Adobe: 01:22 Hermes: 01:46 SAP: 02:29 USDSEK: 03:00 USDNOK: 04:04 NEW COVERAGE Microsoft: 04:39 Bayer: 05:31 Alibaba: 05:52 CEASE COVERAGE Amazon: 06:22 Eli Lilly: 07:01 Novo Nordisk: 07:15 NZDUSD: 07:29 -- About This Channel -- Welcome to Money & Charts I am a Technical Analyst (Chartist) with more than 13 years of experience in banking and finance. On this channel, I will create content related to stocks, currencies, and financial trends. Whether you're into investing or looking to expand your knowledge, I hope that my videos offer practical insights and perspectives to you. Stocks | Currencies | Market Insights | Financial Trends Subscribe now and stay ahead of the curve with Money & Charts! This video is my usual weekly or biweekly Technical Analysis outlook on currencies and stocks.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal