Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wolves of Crypto2025-11-11T20:21:56weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-8.92%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
103,210.67
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
126,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
94,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
104,394
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
22.08%
Initial Invalidation Distance
8.92%
Risk / Reward
2.47
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-8.92%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality72.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-11T20:21:56
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-16T17:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-16T17:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-16T17:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
116.63h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wolves of Crypto
YouTube · @WolvesOfCrypto_
Reliability
49.12
Success Rate
36.57%
Consistency
86.92
Risk Adjusted
-17.47
Avg Return
-2.45%
Avg Quality
3.52
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
R_iUJQ4yN4g
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis points out that Bitcoin has seen the weekly candle close recently and indicates some good news. It notes that after rejection in September from a yellow resistance line going back to 2017, it has been bad news overall. It splits the bear case into two categories: momentum chart breakdown and price chart breakdown. It concludes that momentum breakdown is seen on the 2-week chart using RSI marking several macro tops and cyclical tops using a top white line, while price chart breakdown is not yet validated by price actions, which warrants caution. He remains cautious since $120,000 and splits the bear case into a momentum and a price, pointing the former has already broken down. Due to cycles the top is probably in, he's cautious due to the current levels, since no breakdown has been actually validated, so he's remaining sideline. The medium-term is also currently not bad but in order to flip bullish Bitcoin has to make an all-time high. The presenter claims bitcoin still have a lot to prove.

Original Caption

Topic Overview 0:00-2:48 Bitunix Exchange 2:48-3:21 Analysis 3:21-10:50 Bitunix Exchange 10:50-11:57 Bitunix Exchange Referral Link (Referral Code: 543w) - NON KYC - Lifelong 15% Fee Discount - Up To $8000 In Rewards: https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=543w Telegram Community Group Chat: https://t.me/+TD-btyDvq0xjOWU1 The Crypto Academy Website: https://www.thecryptoacademy.courses/ Business Inquiries Contact: wolvesofcryptocontact@gmail.com LEGAL DISCLAIMER: It is worth noting that this video, as with all Wolves Of Crypto content, is a representation of my personal opinions on the market and should in no way be considered financial advice in any form, as I am not a qualified financial advisor. I am not responsible for your investment decisions or outcomes, analyze the charts for yourself before proceeding with a trade. This applies to every investment decision in cryptocurrency, stock market and any financial market - including investment decisions directly related to Bitcoin BTC, Ethereum ETH & any other altcoin. This also applies regardless of the wording that I use in my content such as phrases like "you should do x" and "I suggest you do y". Additionally, viewers are responsible for anything that happens on cryptocurrency exchanges promoted on this channel.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal