Prediction Case File
AEROUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Discover Crypto2025-11-13T08:00:25dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.6%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.985816
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
1.18
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.97
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.97377
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
19.7%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.6%
Risk / Reward
12.28
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-1.6%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-13T08:00:25
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved Candle
2025-11-13T11:00:00
Max High
0.98888761
Max High At
2025-11-13T09:00:00
Min Low
0.96673632
Min Low At
2025-11-13T11:00:00
Time To Result
4,481.62h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Discover Crypto
YouTube · @DiscoverCrypto_
Reliability
43
Success Rate
28.24%
Consistency
76.64
Risk Adjusted
-15.03
Avg Return
-4.66%
Avg Quality
3.23
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
9zynY-6f7iQ
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysts give price predictions for Bitcoin, stating if the price fails to rebound to 103800, it could drop to 92000. They show the moving averages for bitcoin and say it needs to move above the 300 day moving average to be bullish. The presenter believes that $92,000 is the line to turn bearish long term. There is further discussion that the government re-opening hasn’t made an impact, a situation that will likely lead to a big short wash. One speaker says in order for green candles to light up (become bullish) the market needs to move to the upside and break above the 300SMA simple moving average. An analysis of Aerodrome (AERO) shows that the price retraced back into a previous range low they had already identified. It would not flip to bullish until $1.18 before previous support becomes new resistance.

Original Caption

Join Our Trading Group Discord - https://discord.gg/pJYe4Z9FWa Blofin - https://partner.blofin.com/d/DiscoverCrypto Lbank - https://www.lbank.com/activity/bonuspro/100M-EN11-BonusPro?icode=4M7MZ ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● ️ Protect your BTC From Taxes - https://bitcoinira.com/ ️ Crypto Tax Services - https://www.decrypted.tax/ ️ Use 'DC20' for 20% off Arculus - https://www.getarculus.com/products/arculus-cold-storage-wallet Bitcoin Ticker Box - https://tickerbox.eu?sca_ref=8841235.jarE9W1myNW ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● ️ Follow on X - https://x.com/DiscoverCrypto_ ●▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬▬● All of our videos are strictly personal opinions. Please make sure to do your own research. Never take one person's opinion for financial guidance. There are multiple strategies and not all strategies fit all people. Our videos ARE NOT financial advice. Our videos are sponsored & include affiliate content. Digital Assets are highly volatile and carry a considerable amount of risk. Only use exchanges for trading digital assets. We never keep our entire portfolio on an exchange. #bitcoin #crypto

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal